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February 26, 2008 at 20:34:33

BOOK REVIEW: RE-INVENTING COLLAPSE, The Soviet Example And American Prospects, By Dmitry Orlov

by Carolyn Baker     Page 1 of 2 page(s)

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The old normal is that life will go on just like before. The new normal is that nothing will ever be the same Rather than attempting to undertake the Herculean task of mitigating the unmitigatable-attempting to stop the world and point it in a different direction-it seems far better to turn inward and work to transform yourself into someone who might stand a chance, given the world's assumed trajectory. Much of this transformation is psychological and involves letting go of many notions that we have been conditioned to accept unquestioningly. Some if it involves acquiring new skills and a different set of habits. Some of it is even physiological, changing one's body to prepare it for a life that has far fewer creature comforts and conveniences, while requiring far more physical labor.

These words from Pages 125 and 126 of Dmitry Orlov's Re-Inventing Collapse: The Soviet Example and American Prospects leapt out at me as perhaps the most definitive in his marvelous new book in which Dmitry illumines the collapse of the American empire, now well underway, with his insights from living through the collapse of the Soviet Union.

By way of background, I will be using his first name throughout this review because although I've only met him once, he feels like an old friend. I first heard of Dmitry several years ago when I became a subscriber to From The Wilderness where I was captivated by his article series "Post-Soviet Lessons For A Post-American Century." Later in 2007, Dmitry wrote an exclusive article for my website entitled "Collapse And Its Discontent." I was then honored and humbled by his request for an endorsement of Re-Inventing Collapse and immediately requested a review copy from his publisher, New Society.

Opening the book with a "recipe" for collapse soup and noticing that the United States has combined all of the ingredients, Dmitry states that economic collapse, particularly in the throes of Peak Oil, is an enormous red flag signaling that the collapse of the American empire is underway. Additionally, he emphasizes that "when faced with a collapsing economy, one should stop thinking of wealth in terms of money." Physical resources and assets, as well as relationships and connections are worth their weight in gold and quickly become more valuable than cash. (11) Specifically, he states:

I therefore take as my premise that at some point during the coming years, due to an array of factors, with energy scarcity foremost among them, the economic system of the United States will teeter and fall, to be replaced by something that most people can scarcely guess at, and that even those who see it coming prefer not to think about. (15)

A key psychological factor in the individualization of oppression, deeply embedded in the American psyche, is the notion that in the face of utter powerlessness, blaming oneself provides the last semblance of empowerment, i.e., "It's my fault; I caused it; if only I hadn't...."  This is not unlike the internal psychological mechanisms that engage within a child during and after abuse in which the child unconsciously blames him/herself for the abuse because not to do so confronts the child with an intolerable, overwhelming sense of powerlessness.

Noting that Americans find it difficult to imagine failure collectively in terms of the nation itself and prefer to insist that all failure is individual in nature, Dmitry concedes that collapse will be different for each person, but that one way to bridge the gap between "individual" and "collective" might be to notice the pre- and post-collapse conditions of the Soviet Union and compare them hypothetically with those of the United States. The ultimate intention here is to invite the reader to ask him/herself to what extent each important thing in one's life is "collapse-proof" and then after several pages of deepening and refining many of the concepts of his "Post-Soviet Lessons" series, Dmitry makes a stunning request: to consider how to make that "important thing" collapse-proof, or come to terms with how to live without it. (17)

In his marvelous chapter on "Superpower Similarities" Dmitry offers a conclusion, certainly not new to me, but one which begs to be pondered: "Rather than one giant explosion, this is more likely to be death by a thousand cuts." (35) After each cut, he states, Americans are likely to fantasize a technological remedy, but increasingly their fantasy will be proven to be just that, and those who offer such false hopes will become, "progressively lest trustworthy." (35) At the same time that he emphasizes the protracted nature of collapse, he notes the power of tipping points, like Chernobyl in the Soviet Union and Katrina in the U.S., to exacerbate the velocity of collapse.

During this hour of national election mania in the United States, I cannot resist Dmitry's sardonic observation that "The two capitalist parties offer a choice between two placebos," (55) later noting that "...all successful adaptations to the new circumstances will have to be made at the local level, and will have to rely on existing infrastructure, inventory and locally available talents and skills." (61) In pondering his analysis of collapse-how it manifested in the S.U. (Soviet Union) and is now manifesting in the U.S., one is dumfounded with the utter vacuousness of all American political party platforms in the face of a crumbling empire. The Soviet experience confirms that when societies collapse, all issues become acutely and intensely local, and communities and neighborhoods-or large numbers of the dispossessed in a particular venue--must address them.

Whereas some may feel guilty about political apathy or their unwillingness to participate in the national election charade, Dmitry argues that "Although people often bemoan political apathy as if it were a grave social ill, it seems to me that this is just as it should be. Why should essentially powerless people want to engage in a humiliating farce designed to demonstrate the legitimacy of those who wield the power?" (114) Thank you Dmitry; you've just described how I've felt after departing a voting booth every four years for the past three decades.

In his chapter on "Collapse Mitigation" Dmitry names his major concerns regarding the nature of the catastrophe that lies ahead. He notes that "there is no one who will undertake an organized effort to make the collapse survivable", but this is indeed a circular dilemma. A society that cannot and will not even consider the possibility of collapse is incapable of organizing to survive it. And so it is that we have many radioactive toxic installations, stockpiles, and dumps lying around. Many nuclear power plants have been built near coastlines, which does not bode well for surrounding communities in the face of rising sea levels resulting from global warming. (111) As a result of collapse, soldiers may become stranded overseas, along with private contractors.

As prison systems become increasingly costly and unmanageable due to the diminishment of resources, what will happen to those populations that can no longer be maintained and managed? Will they be released, setting off "a crime wave of staggering proportions"? (112) Even more frightening is the collection of non-collateralized debt, such as credit card debt, which is "secured by threat of force" and which Dmitry suggests may result in massive indentured debt servitude.

In a wonderful section called "Do It Yourself", Dmitry states:

Any behavior that might result in continued economic growth and prosperity is counterproductive: the higher you jump, the harder you land. It is traumatic to go from having a big retirement fund to having not retirement fund because of a market crash. It is also traumatic to go from a high income to little or no income. If, on top of that, you have kept yourself incredibly busy and suddenly have nothing to do, then you will really be in rough shape.... (122) If the economy, and your place within it, are really important to you, you will really be hurt when they go away.(123)

It takes a lot of creativity and effort to put together a fulfilling existence on the margins of society. After the collapse, these margins may turn out to be some of the best places to live. (123)

So "doing it oneself" is about figuring out how to increasingly operate and live from the margins of society. Those who have already learned how to do so will have an advantage over the many who haven't.

From many collapse watchers such as Richard Heinberg, Derrick Jensen, James Howard Kunstler and others, we frequently hear the word "adaptation" or synonymous terms, indicating how crucial it is that we are able to adjust our demands to the reality of "Peak Everything" because of how a collapsing world will force human beings to live. Ideally, we need not be forced but will proactively prepare ourselves physically, financially, and emotionally. While Dmitry points out that there is nothing wrong with comforts, he emphasizes that for optimum collapse survival, we need to perceive them as luxuries, not necessities.

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http://www.carolynbaker.net

Carolyn Baker, Ph.D. is author of COMING OUT FROM FUNDAMENTALIST CHRISTIANITY: An Autobiography Affirming Sensuality, Social Justice, and The Sacred. She is also author of U.S. HISTORY UNCENSORED: What Your High School Textbook Didn't Tell You. Both books are available at her website: www.carolynbaker.net.

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6 comments

As we enter the last half of 2008, it is becoming increasingly clear that whatever this rogue administration and congress has planned for our final demise, is about to take place. I fully expect to see sites like OpEd either seriously compromised or gone altogether.

We have little time left, if any at all. Stand up now or there will be no peace.

Marti OakleyAs we enter the last half of 2008, it is becoming increasingly clear that whatever this rogue administration and congress has planned for our final demise, is about to take place. I fully expect to see sites like OpEd either seriously compromised or gone altogether.

We have little time left, if any at all. Stand up now or there will be no peace.

Frightening

This is such an excellent expose' on the national storm that is approaching us.  Still, with all the staged seismic shakings of Wall Street, the fact that we are as a nation beyond bankrupt, there are still those who cling to the right vs left notions that are dragging us to the brink of destruction.

9 million homes now in foreclosure...millions of jobs simply gone......food prices rising at an alarming rate......lack of healthcare......stiffled education.....religion approaching radicalism..........and no one in our government seems to be aware that anything is wrong. 

We are simply being given enough rope to hang ourselves.

Marti Oakley

by Marti Oakley (19 articles, 0 quicklinks, 2 diaries, 57 comments) on Tuesday, February 26, 2008 at 9:46:08 PM
 


A writer is a rogue goose. All other gees fly in a flock formation; every goose knows his place and time for honking. The rogue goose is undisciplined. He leaves the formation indiscriminately to have a look at it from aside. He roams back and forth, takes a peep at the leader, honks a little bit from behind, distracts everyone and writes on what he sees. Time passes and as he wants to return back to his place he discovers someone else there. Thus he either has to wait until they land for rest...

to see more of bio, click on member name

Mark SashineA writer is a rogue goose. All other gees fly in a flock formation; every goose knows his place and time for honking. The rogue goose is undisciplined. He leaves the formation indiscriminately to have a look at it from aside. He roams back and forth, takes a peep at the leader, honks a little bit from behind, distracts everyone and writes on what he sees. Time passes and as he wants to return back to his place he discovers someone else there. Thus he either has to wait until they land for rest...

to see more of bio, click on member name

let's not be so .. gullible

The collapse of the Soviet Union was a result of the political treason, the betrayal of the national interests by  the  goons in power. The  US is young. It is not a nation yet. It is in transition. We  are not even an Empire.  The doomsday scenarios are not taking into consideration that in the Soviet Union there was a powerful group  INTERESTED  IN COLLAPSE. We here  see  the seeds of that group in  the Empire Elite. But they had not fully formed yet. There is hope. And BTW, I would advise not to follow Orlov's advise on 'careers'.  It did not work there. We better protect our center  to make it hold instead of  readily go to the fringes. It is death there, on the fringes.

by Mark Sashine (50 articles, 19 quicklinks, 244 diaries, 3453 comments) on Wednesday, February 27, 2008 at 2:39:47 PM
 


Carolyn Baker, Ph.D. is author of COMING OUT FROM FUNDAMENTALIST CHRISTIANITY: An Autobiography Affirming Sensuality, Social Justice, and The Sacred. She is also author of U.S. HISTORY UNCENSORED: What Your High School Textbook Didn't Tell You. Both books are available at her website: www.carolynbaker.net.
Carolyn BakerCarolyn Baker, Ph.D. is author of COMING OUT FROM FUNDAMENTALIST CHRISTIANITY: An Autobiography Affirming Sensuality, Social Justice, and The Sacred. She is also author of U.S. HISTORY UNCENSORED: What Your High School Textbook Didn't Tell You. Both books are available at her website: www.carolynbaker.net.

Collapse of Soviet Union

Please Google and read "The Rape Of Russia" by Anne Williamson then run, don't walk to watch "What A Way To Go: Life At The End Of Empire." Russia was intentionally bankrupted by Goldman Sachs and the likes of Robert Rubin, Clinton's Treasury Secretary. Doomsday IS happening right now whether you choose to remain in denial or not.

by Carolyn Baker (42 articles, 0 quicklinks, 0 diaries, 33 comments) on Wednesday, February 27, 2008 at 3:01:48 PM
 


Patricia Ormsby is an environmental and health activist living Fujinomiya, Japan. She obtained her bachelors degree in Chemical Engineering from the University of Colorado in 1981 and studied Linguistics at the University of Michigan Graduate School before moving to Japan in 1984, where she has worked since as a language teacher and translator of Japanese and Russian technical documents. She hang glides and climbs mountains and has led several ecotours to Siberia, Canada and the United States....

to see more of bio, click on member name

Patricia 0rmsbyPatricia Ormsby is an environmental and health activist living Fujinomiya, Japan. She obtained her bachelors degree in Chemical Engineering from the University of Colorado in 1981 and studied Linguistics at the University of Michigan Graduate School before moving to Japan in 1984, where she has worked since as a language teacher and translator of Japanese and Russian technical documents. She hang glides and climbs mountains and has led several ecotours to Siberia, Canada and the United States....

to see more of bio, click on member name

Post S.U.

There are so many differences between what is happening in the US now and what happened in Russia recently that it is difficult to draw comparisons, so I agree with you to some extent, Mark. Were you in Russia at that time? What areas were you witnessing? From 1994, I started visiting Siberia and the Russian Far East, taking groups of ecotourists. While the natural landscape is pretty good (and impressive coming from Japan, where I live), what I wanted people to see was how the natives were getting by after the collapse and deprivation of what most of us have come to consider essential or even "given." Under these circumstances, the people were not only getting by, they had lots of fun and friends and tight-knit communities--things we've lost. In other words, I wanted to show them hope.
In the case of Russia, I know that Moscow picked itself back up from the collapse more quickly than other parts of Russia, which were being impoverished progressively to feed the oligarchs. Conditions for most of my friends there have improved since Putin became President. Prior to that, however, it appeared that people were better off in small rural villages than in the cities, (but I didn't see Moscow). People were getting by in the cities because they had relatives in the country who could bring them food, and also because most had some land (the dacha) on the outskirts of the cities where they could grow their own food. Rents were blessedly cheap, but even so, a lot of the pensioners had to sell off their belongings for food and were finally reduced to begging. The worst problems were alcoholism and despair, and they seemed to afflict people regardless of where they lived, but I have to admit were particularly salient in rural areas.
I see two major differences between the US and SU. First, few people in the US have any connection with the land, and much of agriculture has been corporatized. The result will be soil stripped of its nutrients to squeeze the last bit of profit from it. Few who have never farmed realize just how serious an issue this is. Second, who can throw the US a lifeline? What resources can America use to get back on its feet again? Without oil, Russia would still be in survival mode. If there is hope of renewed economic activity, then New York might be the best place in the long run, but if not, perhaps the Catskills with a mutually supportive community.

by Patricia 0rmsby (3 articles, 5 quicklinks, 1 diaries, 133 comments) on Wednesday, February 27, 2008 at 10:27:32 PM
 


I consider myself a philosopher in the traditional sense, trying to be interested in all the things of the mind, the body and the feeling (I'm doing a Ph.D. in academic philosophy). I make my living as an IT consultant and technical writer. I'm a ballroom dancer and run a dance using computer music. I speak several languages. I raised my three daughters as a single father. These last few years I have become very interested in health and in economics.
Robert HoogenboomI consider myself a philosopher in the traditional sense, trying to be interested in all the things of the mind, the body and the feeling (I'm doing a Ph.D. in academic philosophy). I make my living as an IT consultant and technical writer. I'm a ballroom dancer and run a dance using computer music. I speak several languages. I raised my three daughters as a single father. These last few years I have become very interested in health and in economics.

Yes, thanks for this.

Great article, on an absolutely vital topic. People are insane and governments are insane. You'd think that with all the disasters about to happen, there'd be discussion about it everywhere, with a view to taking measures that will enable society and people to cope. There is nothing. In my own life, there are only a few friends who are willing to talk about all this. But their angle is that governments and corporations are wicked, or that people should go back to religion, or that people should do this, that and the other to stop these disasters from happening, etc. The discussion is far too little about what will actually happen, and about coping, either as a society, or, in the worst case, as a family, or even individually. And here, finally, I find a few people who may be willing to discuss in this way. And there are two aspects to this, the new external relations and forms of organisation, and the inner aspect, as Carolyn indicates she is particularly interested in, the psychological coping, with the new hardships, with the possible loss of loved ones. I think we ought to keep this discussion going, either on this forum, as a sub-forum, or wherever. I think we should go into the details as to what is likely to happen and what will be necessary and useful, and exchange in depth, and even consider in what way we can physically support each other, which may include creating communities which will be relatively self-sufficient. I've started to read the website that Carolyn mentions. Does anyone know of a forum that has started to discuss all these things in detail?

Sydney Australia

by Robert Hoogenboom (0 articles, 0 quicklinks, 0 diaries, 168 comments) on Thursday, February 28, 2008 at 2:05:02 PM
 

 

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