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July 1, 2008 at 07:33:58

War on Warming

by Peter Cohen     Page 1 of 1 page(s)

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War on Warming

Peter G Cohen

The latest science tells us that if we do not act quickly and effectively to cut our greenhouse gasses in the next two years, we are promised a slew of problems that will have a much greater cost to our economy and the stability of the world. At a minimum we can anticipate droughts, heat waves, intensified storms, spreading disease and crop failures, water shortages, and the flooding of millions of homes and fields.  

NASA’s chief climatologist, James Hansen, has issued the Pearl Harbor of global warming - we must act quickly or change will be irreversible. 

How did we respond to the challenge of  the Pearl Harbor attack? After we were attacked the nation was mobilized. Government agencies were created to pursue the war and to increase our production of guns, tanks and planes. That mobilization worked because everyone was determined to win and because the impact of the required sacrifices was fairly distributed. 

Now we can create the structures to mobilize and coordinate our efforts to control global climate change, or we ignore the threat and leave the burden of these disasters to our children! We could be the generation that faces global warming and brings it under control, but voluntary efforts are not enough. Those who go out of their way to restrict their energy use are made to feel foolish when they see others continuing to waste.

The first step is a national program to educate all of our people on the latest science of global warming, its causes and dangers so that they fully understand the urgency of the challenge we face. At the same time, we need to establish the agencies necessary to plan and carry out step by step greenhouse gas reductions as fairly as possible. All of the sectors that create these gasses must be coordinated in their efforts. Difficult questions arise: What should be done first? Where are the easy fixes? Which taxes and subsidies should be changed? How are we going to encourage the necessary investment? Short and long-term planning are necessary in order to achieve the best results with the minimum disruption of our economy.

We cannot expect the Congress to have the depth of knowledge necessary for success.  We need to establish a national organization of scientists, systems people, economists and others to integrate our efforts and provide the Congress with a detailed and logical plan for short- and long-term legislation to benefit the whole nation.

For example, solar panels are operating at their optimum just when most people want air conditioning. Why can’t we legislate nationally that all new AC installations must be served by solar panels? This  would reduce the summer stress  on our electrical supply and reduce CO2 emissions at the same time. 

There is another benefit to be had from cutting back on our greenhouse gasses. We have passed peak oil and can expect gradually declining quality, supplies and rising prices. As we encourage clean energy technologies to be implemented quickly, we will create a major new industry making much needed wind generators, solar panels and other equipment  for ourselves and the less-developed world. As with the mobilization of W.W.II, the War on Warming is likely to  stimulate rather than to  hurt the national economy.

The United States uses almost twice as much energy as Germany to produce the same product. Much of our industrial equipment is outdated and wasteful. By installing more efficient motors, machines and procedures we can increase efficiency while reducing energy consumption and global warming. 

Of course, some industries will be restricted as we cut back on greenhouse gasses. Coal is an example. That industry has spent millions of dollars telling us that global warming doesn’t exist. But cutting back on carbon emissions over the next forty years is a gradual way to phase out an industry that has filled the air and water with toxins, maimed and killed thousands of miners, and is now destroying the natural environment of areas where coal is strip mined. 

America need not fear a national mobilization to reduce our greenhouse gasses. What we should fear is a halfhearted effort that is weakly administered and plagued with political appointments and favoritism. Let us demand an energetic and determined attack on global warming to achieve the UN goals for the U.S. by 2050.

#     #     #

Peter G Cohen, veteran of W.W.II, artist and activist, has been involved with environmental issues since the eighties. He now lives in Santa Barbara

where he can be reached at aerie2@verizon.net

 

petergcohen.com

Peter G Cohen, artist and activist, is a veteran of W.W. II, a father and grandfather. For 57 years he painted mostly figurative paintings of people working, warring, psychological studies and, finally, a series on fertilization within the ovum. During the Vietnam war he headed a local peace group and then ran for Congress as an independent peace candidate, 1968. In 1969-'70 he was Exec. Dir. of the New Democratic Coalition of PA. During this period he developed the idea that political organizing is far more effective than demonstrations or petitions. This perspective is embodied in his website, nukefreeworld.com, which encourages people to organize by congressional districts. He no lives and writes in Santa Barbara, CA,

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Peak Oil consultant specializing in planning, risk management, and relocation to sustainable areas. In sum, I help people deal with the Peak Oil catastrophe.
Clifford WirthPeak Oil consultant specializing in planning, risk management, and relocation to sustainable areas. In sum, I help people deal with the Peak Oil catastrophe.

Peak Oil sooner/worse than global warming

Peak Oil is sooner and worse than global warming. Global oil production is now declining, from 85 million barrels per day to 60 million barrels per day by 2015, while at the same time demand will increase 14%. This is like a 30% drop. No one can reverse this trend, nor can we conserve our way out of this catastrophe, because the demand is so high that it will always be higher than production; thus the depletion rate will continue until all recoverable oil is extracted. We are facing the collapse of the highways that depend on diesel trucks for maintenance of bridges, cleaning culverts to avoid road washouts, snow plowing, roadbed and surface repair. When the highways fail, so too does the power grid, as highways carry the parts, transformers, steel for pylons, and high tension wire, all from far away. With the highways out, there will be no food coming in from "outside," and without the power grid nothing works, including home heating. This is documented in a free 45 page report that can be downloaded and distributed/ emailed: http://www.peakoilassociates.com/POAnalysis.html

by Clifford Wirth (0 articles, 0 quicklinks, 0 diaries, 3 comments) on Tuesday, July 1, 2008 at 7:55:55 AM
 


I am a chemist and able to contribute to the debate about thermite.
gravity32I am a chemist and able to contribute to the debate about thermite.

getting dangerous

Hansen has called for those who dispute global warming to be put on trial. Is that the new American Way? Is scientific debate no longer permitted?

For the last few years the CO2 level has been rising but the lower atmosphere temperature has been falling. This is measured by satellite so is not confounded by heat islands and urbanization. There is therefore no longer any scientific case that global warming is occurring. The IPCC forecasts, based on computer models with assumption of a strong CO2 effect, have therefore been proved wrong. The temperature now is warm but not as warm as it has been in the relatively recent past. The medieval warm period was warmer. So it appears that the current warm period is within the normal range. A graph of temperature can be found here if you scroll well down. It shows temperature up to May 2008. Most websites do not go that far so do not show the recent cooling. The graph shows that the temperature now is the same as it was in 1979. The data for June will appear soon. It will be interesting to see it.

So what is driving the temperature changes? Apparently it is not the CO2 level. Here is a discussion of the science. Those scientists who use sunspot activity to predict warming and cooling have been predicting cooling. They appear to be right. We should remember that we are 11000 years into the present interglacial. Interglacials usually last about 10000 years so it appears that it would be prudent to prepare for global cooling. 

 

by gravity32 (0 articles, 0 quicklinks, 0 diaries, 157 comments) on Tuesday, July 1, 2008 at 10:36:36 PM
 

 

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