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November 18, 2008 at 08:01:24

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Promoted to Headline (H3) on 11/18/08:
Trickle Down Treachery

by jeff rock     Page 1 of 1 page(s)

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Unsurprisingly the meeting of the G20 yielded nothing new.  Never mind that people are losing their jobs by the hundreds of thousands and even millions, and companies large and small are closing their doors and laying off employees, while these ‘leaders’ of the free world enjoyed yet another meal on the tab of the middle class taxpayer, nibbling their caviar and sipping $500 per bottle wine, they could find not one action they could jointly undertake to ameliorate the lives of all those who have trusted our economic fate in their hands.  Worse, what many do not realize, and characteristically omitted by the mainstream and financial media, is their proposed ‘potential’ solution to our present financial and economic meltdown will have the exact opposite effect, further plunging us into chaos and making it all the more difficult to extricate ourselves in the future.  The actions discussed the G20 include the very actions that led us to this precipice, tax and interest rate cuts.  Why do tax and interest rate cuts, which sound so beneficial or at least innocuous, spell further doom?  Equally important to ask, is our present economic condition the desired outcome of twenty-eight years of trickle down economics?  The latter question begs because its answer could undermine any appropriate economic response to the real and underlying economic disaster that is unfolding before our very eyes.  In other words, if tax and interest rate cuts cause the largest and most wealthy individuals and corporations to increase their wealth and power yet more, they may have no desire or intent to address the challenges faced by the majority of the population.

 

To understand the current financial predicament that faces most nations around the world today one has to go deeper than the banking and credit crisis.  The ‘great engine’ of free market economies is the consumer.  The great engine is not working anymore.  It is not working because the consumers are unable to keep up the growth in spending necessary to support the growth in production that has been envisioned by the laisser-faire free marketeers.  In their plan growth is supposed to continue without stop, forever.  The consumers cannot keep up their spending because their income has been undermined by twenty-eight years of neo-conservative and neo-liberal economic policies.  As a side note, there is no difference between neo-conservative and neo-liberal policies.  They simply burn the candle from both ends.  While the neo-conservatives enrich themselves, the neo-liberals sell-off our nation’s wealth and sell-out their constituents, the middle class.  Both parties have supported de-regulation and corporate welfare.  Both parties are equally to blame for our current fiscal fiasco.  The flip side of the consumer is the worker, or employee.  Neo-economists have for many decades, but particularly since Reagan, sought to undermine the employee.  They have succeeded beyond measure.  For most of the last thirty-five years, income of the middle class has declined, all while the economic boom has enriched those at the uppermost echelons of the income stream.  It took only sixteen years to almost completely export the manufacturing capacity of the US to third world nations where poor people will work for a few dollars a day, seven days a week, and without worker or environmental protections.  In order to maintain the appearance of normalcy during this period it was critical to extend credit to the US employee.  This credit made it possible to claim that our economy was healthy when in fact, the goods were being loaded, lock-stock-and barrel out the back door.  Now with a severely limited productive capability, the US cannot produce its way out of this economic collapse and we certainly cannot afford to borrow our way out.

 

Homes prices are the lowest they have been in a decade or more and interest rates are relatively low.  So why are people not buying?  No one can afford to buy anymore because the price of everything is still too high for most citizens and no one is capable of taking on more debt.  The result?  Millions more will lose their jobs in an increasing vicious cycle of job loss, drop consumer spending, further job losses, further drop in consumer spending until we hit a very hard bottom that will make the Great Depression look attractive.  We will have to invent new economic terms to describe the horrors we are about to face.

 

The economy has been over-stimulated since Reagan took office.  More stimulation is not the cure to our current economic woes.  It’s like giving a cup of coffee to someone who has been binging on methamphetamines for three days straight.  There is a limit to stimulating the economy.  As far as cutting taxes goes, we know this is code for cutting corporate taxes.  Cutting corporate taxes will only result in more capital flight from the US not consumer spending.  The engine will grind noisily to a complete halt

 

Many world renowned economists are saying that a massive depression is not possible to avoid at this time.  There is no fix.  Giving our money away in a phony ‘bailout’ scheme only places more funds in the hands of those who do not need them.  The purpose is to position them to buy up everything when prices eventually crash and hit bottom.  More importantly, this criminal act does not actually stimulate the economy.  It only makes matters far worse.

 

While many economists are involved in analyzing the extremely complex numbers that describe investment and debt ratios, that compare current conditions to the Great Depression and explain the specific straw that broke the camel’s back, one need not look so deeply into these statistics to understand the underlying root cause.  When the great ‘engine’ of the US economy falters and sputters to a stop, one need not understand advanced economic and monetary theory to understand what is wrong.  Its simply the collaose of the US consumer that is the root cause.  This collapse is the result of crushing the workers and employees for three decades.  If the consumer cannot spend and the consumer is the flip side of every employee, then we need to get money into the hands of employees.  We need to increase the ranks of employees, not diminish them by letting businesses fail, such as the auto makers.  At this stage, even though the US automakers failed to market fuel efficient cars and instead manufactured gas guzzling SUV’s Hummers and the like, now is not the time to pay them back by letting them fail. That will only punish the workers even more.  Instead we need to prop up our industries, factories and businesses so they can hire employees, pay them a decent wage or salary, and let nature follow its course.  We can do this and demand that Detroit auto manufacturers make more fuel efficient vehicles.  Its not one or the other.  We can do both.  While this will not fix our economic problem, it will greatly reduce its impact and will shorten the duration of the hardships that are unquestionably coming and coming very soon.

Breaking the back of unions and undermining the income of regular employees must be viewed against the backdrop of a larger purpose.  Large corporate oligarchies hate democracies and have made this abundantly clear over the past century by subverting virtually every popular democracy in the world, particularly in Central and South America, where the US influence was greatest.  Democracy is the greatest enemy of oligarchs.  The US is only the last one left to subvert, to turn into a new third world.  It was the biggest and strongest democracy and posed the greatest threat to corporate hegemony on the planet.  Since Reagan assumed office, the corporations have successfully dismantled the last and greatest popular democracy in the world.  Election of Barack Obama may make a little but of a difference but Obama will inherit a nation in economic tatters.  He may be a great future President but he cannot conjure magic and will be incapable of undoing the damage of three decades of neo-economics.  What tools does he have?  He can increase government spending on infrastructure, putting ever greater downward pressure on the dollar and probably resulting in major inflation instead of the deflation normally associated with depression.  He can lower interest rates, but as noted above, who will borrow money anyway?  He can simply print money, but no amount of printed money will succeed in curing our economic ailments.  In fact it will lead to hyper inflation faster than government spending on the infrastructure.  The real medicine we need would require a radical change in economic policies the likes of which will simply not be accepted by Congress or other influential members of our nation until it is too late for even these measures to work.  Such measures would have to include a great reduction in debt forced by government action.  For example a good idea would be to immediately cancel and outlaw all derivatives.  Those who purchased them would lose but since they cannot be paid off anyway in the event of global drop in stock and investment portfolios values, who cares of those who bet on failure fail themselves?  Second, many debts should be selectively forgiven.  This should be done carefully but would include deferral or elimination of huge amounts of debt held by average people and employees.  Other radical measures would also be needed, for too extreme for our politicians to embrace until it’s too late.

 

As for the ‘free’ market, it is already a thing of the past.  The oligarchies saw to that.  They told us the ‘free’ market leads to the most efficient production and distribution of wealth.  But our markets are not free.  They are monopolistic.  That is the opposite of the free market.  Moreover, with unemployment at record levels and threatening to continue skyrocketing, one cannot argue that millions of idle works constitutes efficient production or use of resources.  The opposite is true.  An oligarchy leads to massive inefficiencies when it comes to unused resources.  There are millions of unemployed and this number will continue to increase without abatement.  Unemployed workers represent a huge resource that is idle.  How can anyone make the argument anymore that the US style ‘free’ market is the most efficient?

 

Until the powerful are willing to admit that their wealth is tied directly to the consumer and that the consumer is the flip side of the worker, we can never ameliorate our very sick economy.  But do they already know this?  Are they using this crisis, like they have so many others, to further disenfranchise the ordinary person, the average worker, the employee and the middle class?  Look out for government solutions that only increase the power of the IMF and World Bank. Beware when the government gives your tax money away to the largest banks.

 This meltdown has been predicted for many years by many qualified economists.  It is the natural result of weakening the US worker.  And their current plan is more of the same.  The result will also be more of the same.

 

Jeff Rock is an economist of thirty-two years. He has spent his entire career in the building industry working in a capacity that allows him to witness daily the inner workings of the so-called 'free' market. Jeff studied at US and French (more...)
 

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11 comments


Thanks, Jeff

...Think I'll send this on to those who are still starry eyed, or bleary-eyed, about ole Ronnie....although to be fair, Ronnie was just the affable Faceman for the REAL criminal, Poppy Bush.  HE is the one, with his Neocon Oil Cronies, who set us up for all this misery, while his "Junior" is about to abscond un-prosecuted and unaccountable to Paraguay with the rest of the scummy bunch, with OUR wealth!

by Bia Winter (6 articles, 2 quicklinks, 14 diaries, 756 comments [119 recommended, 0 rejected]) on Tuesday, Nov 18, 2008 at 9:07:13 AM

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Excellent, thanks.

You've put all the ideas I've been mulling over the past couple of decades into clear economic terms.

From my perspective I could see the patterns we were building and understood what they meant. 

For me they meant that individuals and communities have to take up the slack as much as possible by creating islands of non-corporate wealth-building, as the paper pyramids were destined to collapse, and in the interim, folks will still need to eat.  Hence my dead horsebeating admonitions to everybody to rototill their front lawns, plant beans, put up solar panels, and decentralize decentralize decentralize.

Thanks very much for lending your learning and gravitas to the situation, it helps me to more clearly express my artist-seeing view of the patterns to people like my engineering friends.

by Jennifer Hathaway (16 articles, 15 quicklinks, 1 diaries, 758 comments [220 recommended, 1 rejected]) on Tuesday, Nov 18, 2008 at 12:22:36 PM

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Reply: We must pull together as you say...

It is probably a good time to create fundmental relationships that will withstand the future economic downfall and allow us to eat and survive.  Establishing bartering systems might be one.  Creating more of a common spirit by which we all sink or swim together could be another.  Whatever horrors are coming our way the only chance we have to survive will be to come together in our common interests and build something independent of the oligopolies to assist one another in managing to feed our families, care for the less fortunate and distance ourselves from the 'every person for themselves, 'survival of the fittest', and 'live and let die' mentality ingrained by decades of neo-economic policies.

by jeff rock (10 articles, 1 quicklinks, 8 diaries, 187 comments [68 recommended, 0 rejected]) on Tuesday, Nov 18, 2008 at 3:09:55 PM

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Very well put.

It seems to me that the mainstream media just say whatever specious hogwash they think sounds nice to the public so that the public will go quietly along with the latest scheme our masters have come up with to rob us yet again.  You know, like "weapons of mass destruction."

by Jill Herendeen (0 articles, 0 quicklinks, 0 diaries, 213 comments [13 recommended, 0 rejected]) on Tuesday, Nov 18, 2008 at 12:57:06 PM

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Trickle up did not work either.

Didn't Bush give you a check last year with you income tax refund?

A lot of good that did.

by Gallaher (2 articles, 0 quicklinks, 4 diaries, 990 comments [34 recommended, 1 rejected]) on Tuesday, Nov 18, 2008 at 3:17:56 PM

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Reply: Are You Kidding?

How does a puny one-time check equal a good, fairly compensated job?  How does it overcome the energy prices that quadrupled in seven years?  ...Or health care costs and groceries that have roughly doubled?  The national debt that has grown so fast and large that nobody really knows how big it is anymore?  ...All while American wages fell or stayed roughly the same.  Don't let yourself be so stupid.

by Donald Rankin III (2 articles, 0 quicklinks, 3 diaries, 60 comments [4 recommended, 0 rejected]) on Tuesday, Nov 18, 2008 at 7:48:45 PM

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Reply: One little check?

Of course a measly $500 did nothing for the economy.  One cannot undo 28 years of deregulated corporate oligarchy with one check.  Is that your reasoning to support the de-regulators?  What about the real free market, i.e. free in the sense of free from factors and influences that impede competition.  The one thing I detest about the neo-economists is their fake support of the free market but their total ignorance that free means competitive.  Without a competitive market we eventually have fascism, exactly the current situation resulting from 'laisser faire' free market policies.

by jeff rock (10 articles, 1 quicklinks, 8 diaries, 187 comments [68 recommended, 0 rejected]) on Tuesday, Nov 18, 2008 at 10:43:28 PM

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Crookism feeds on advantage.

When a person has advantage, he profits from making sure that nothing trickle's down in taxes or wages or other expenses.  That is basically racketeering and crookism.

Capitalism exists between honorable equals for mutual advantage.

by John Hanks (1 articles, 0 quicklinks, 0 diaries, 1760 comments [39 recommended, 0 rejected]) on Tuesday, Nov 18, 2008 at 7:41:40 PM

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Reply: Well put!

I believe that a real free market is the best, however, when we have a downwards sloping supply curve in certain key industries and supply side monopolies we need regulation to prevent fascism.  I like your phrase and will use it, if you don't mind.

by jeff rock (10 articles, 1 quicklinks, 8 diaries, 187 comments [68 recommended, 0 rejected]) on Tuesday, Nov 18, 2008 at 10:46:54 PM

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whoa hoss

- the writer makes a lot of good points, but when he begins by saying we need to look elsewhere than banks etc, he is missing the elephant in the living room - we don't need not to think about them, we need to think about them deeper than most people seem to be doing. The source of ALL of the economic problems we are facing today is the simply fact that private banks create our money supply, and charge interest on it. Period. Our current economic institutions then compound this fundamental problem in many creative ways, but that is at the root. As long as private banks are creating the money, and charging interest, they are going to do fine, and we are going to be serfs of one stripe or another. This includes the consumers not having enough money problem - as long as banks are creating money and charging interest, the flow of money from little people upstairs is completely inevitable, so consumer shortages will equally inevitably result. No sovereign people could allow their money to be controlled by private interests - think about it. more here - Banketeering  http://www.rudemacedon.ca/banketeering.html .

by siamdave (4 articles, 0 quicklinks, 1 diaries, 85 comments [3 recommended, 0 rejected]) on Tuesday, Nov 18, 2008 at 11:30:57 PM

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Reply: Yes, but

Yes the banks are where the current problem has manifested but they are far from the root cause.  The root cause is the growth of oligopolies that in turn allow the banks to do what they do.  The growth of oligopolies is the result of de-regulation and corporate welfare.  This leads to the fascist leaning state we have.  The banking scandal is the result of the root cause.  Yes we have to clean up banking but it is not as simple as getting rid of lending and interest.  Lending capital allows us to grow and growth can be healthy.  Let's not wash out the baby with the bath water.  Its easy to be angry at the banks but let's not lose sight that banks have worked fine when properly regulated.  The true free market, i.e. competitive market, works well if it is not fettered by oligopoly and monopoly.

by jeff rock (10 articles, 1 quicklinks, 8 diaries, 187 comments [68 recommended, 0 rejected]) on Wednesday, Nov 19, 2008 at 7:58:15 AM

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