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July 5, 2008 at 07:57:33

The Perfect Storm from Hell

by Lord Stirling     Page 1 of 2 page(s)

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War on Iran: The Perfect Storm from Hell

As the global bankers’ plan to bring down the American and world’s economy continues (so that they can acquire as much of our wealth as possible at ‘fire sale’ prices ~ an old strategy), the world is facing another much worse danger. A regional war in the Middle East that will involve global strategic weapons of mass destruction with deaths in the hundreds of millions in North America, Europe, the Middle East and globally.

I have served as a consultant to three very high tech aerospace firms. My specialty is conceptualizing advanced warfare especially as it relates to new cutting edge advanced weapon systems. What I see unfolding with a war on Iran is the most frightening set of circumstances I have ever seen; and I have been involved in advanced theoretical weaponry strategy and design for over 20 years.

The rise of the Likud/neo-cons, with Benjamin Netanyahu as the unholy high priest, has been a disaster for Israel, America, the Middle East, and the world at large. The smartest thing that Israel ever did was to use American money to buy off Jordan and Egypt and make peace with them. The dumbest thing was to empower the Likud Party hardliners centered on Bibi Netanyahu and the Bush/Cheney Administration (with supporting roles played by Sharon, and neo-con leaders in the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Italy, and elsewhere). Four years ago Israel was no where near a MAD (mutually assured destruction) environment. Today it has a very dangerous four-front MAD environment and it was unable, in the Second Lebanon War of two years ago, to overturn the dangers surrounding it, in fact the level of MAD danger has increased considerably since the summer of 2006.

The war party in Israel and America has facilitated the rise of a regional (Iran/Syria/Lebanon/Palestine) MAD. I truly believe that the Likud/neo-con strategy is a total failure. The stated goal of the strategy is to break-up and weaken several Middle Eastern states that pose, or could pose, a strategic risk to Israel. To this end Saddam was encouraged to attack Kuwait resulting in the First Gulf War. When he was able to demonstrate, even in the face of intense allied air attacks, his ability to “deliver ordinance on target” using his Scud missiles the United States (and allies) decided not to drive all the way to Bagdad. We knew that he was holding back “the heavy stuff” and only using “dumb” high explosive warheads; not the chemical, biological and radiological warheads that could have caused massive damage to Israel and to the Saudi oilfields. Saddam Hussein's military had prepared what it called the "great equalizer", an arsenal of 25 Scud warheads carrying over 11,000lb of biological agents, including deadly botulism poison and anthrax germs (an additional 33,000lb of germ agents were placed in artillery shells and bombs). It was only after he was forced into denuding himself of his advanced weaponry that the neo-cons were able to begin the Second Gulf War.

After Iran, the Likud/neo-con war strategy calls for the neutralizing of Iran and Syria. The Iranians response was to train and equip Hezbollah in Lebanon and to deepen their strategic alliance with Syria.

During the 2006 Second Lebanon War, the Iranian trained and equipped Hezbollah forces repeated the efforts of Saddam during the First Gulf War. They delivered a very large number of rockets with “dumb” high explosive warheads on Israel. The Hezbollah Special Forces are in-effect a highly trained and well-equipped Iranian commando force of at least a Brigade in size. They man and protect a large number of mostly unguided and rather crude rockets, generally Katyusha 122mm artillery rockets with a 19 mile/30km range and capable of delivering approximately 66 pounds/30kg of warheads. Additionally, Hezbollah are known to possess a considerable number of more advanced and longer range missiles. During the 2006 war Hezbollah fired approximately 4,000 rockets (95% of which were Katyshas) all utilizing only "dumb" high explosive warheads. Some Iranian build and supplied Fajr-3 and Ra'ad 1 liquid-fueled missiles were also fired. At the time of the 2006 war Hezbollah was reported to have in the range of 13,000 rockets. There are creditable reports that this number has been rebuilt and expanded upon since the end of that war and that the number of rockets is now at least 20,000 and perhaps 30,000 or more.

During the 2006 war the world watched as Israeli towns were hit time and time again by the Katyushas. What was not discussed by the main stream news media was the fact that the ordinance delivered by the Katyushas was mainly harassment fire with very limited effect. The Iranian/Syrian trained and supplied Hezhollah commandos were holding back their "heavy stuff" both in terms of their longer range guided missiles capable of hitting southern Israel and most importantly warheads of strategic military importance. That is NBC (nuclear [in this case radiological] chemical and biological) and advanced-conventional warheads. They were demonstrating their ability to deliver "ordinance on target" and their ability to survive a heavy Israeli ground and air combined arms attack.

Hezbollah has the capability of loading truly strategic warheads on the large number of mostly crude older technology unguided rockets that it has. The use of advanced-conventional fuel-air explosive (FAE) warheads on the Katyushas would have had a much more profound effect in Israeli cities. The use of FAE submunitions on the larger missiles capable of hitting any target in Israel would have given Hezbollah the firepower of low-yield nuclear weapons without crossing the nuclear threshold. Coupled with the large number of missiles in Syria and those in Iran, the Hezbollah rockets posed, and continue to pose, a truly grave strategic threat to Israel if FAE warheads are used. This threat is dramatically increased if radiological ("dirty bombs"), chemical, and/or biological warheads are used.

The massive number of Hezbollah rockets could also be outfitted with chemical warheads. It is worth noting that the joint Syrian-Iranian chemical warfare R&D and production program is perhaps the largest and most complicated on earth. Generally the Israelis have shown themselves to be prepared for chemical warfare, however a chemical war attack following closely behind a FAE attack (to open up bunkers and apartment buildings) would have greater effect. While it is not necessary to utilize a rocket to deliver a biological war attack, it could be done and there is some benefit militarily to a rapid dispersal of biowar agents under the cover of conventional attacks. Radiological weapons deliver the long term (which can be hundreds of thousands of years) lethal effects of radiation without the blast effect of a nuclear bomb.

The combined military strategic capability of NBC/Advanced Conventional warheads and very large numbers of rockets operated and protected by Hezbollah, coupled with the arsenal of Syria and Iran (and Hamas) acts as a MAD (mutually assured destruction) between Israel and Iran/Syria. Yes the Israelis can nuke the hell out of both Iran and Syria; however, they possess a fatal return punch.


The response from the Israeli and neo-con hardliners to the new MAD strategic environment has been frightening. Instead of recognizing the danger to Israel and to the entire world from the Iranian/Syrian “checkmate” on the aggressive Israeli/neo-con strategy, and making major changes to their strategy, they are attempting to “tough it out”. The issue of “danger from the Iranian nuclear program” is a smokescreen to facilitate the coming war on Iran and her allies (Syria, Hezbollah, and Hamas) and to continue with the next stage of the neo-con strategy. The response from the hardliners is more war and damn their WMD (weapons of mass destruction). This is most unwise and most dangerous to the entire world.

When the USSR was falling apart, and in the aftermath of the USSR breakup, Iran spend a lot of money to hire some of the best Soviet biological war experts. The advanced biowar weapons that Iran has developed gives Iran a Global Strategic Weapon of Mass Destruction that can unleash levels of death among the populations of the major neo-con nations (USA, UK, France, German, Italy, etc.) very similar to that from a global strategic nuclear strike. This means that Iran and her allies have a MAD with America, Canada, the United Kingdom, France, German, Italy, etc.

Most people think of biological warfare as anthrax and smallpox; they do not understand that there has been a major shift in technology. The difference between the old biowar (that most people think of) and advanced biowar (with its recombination DNA designer super killer viruses) is like the difference between an old Model T Ford and a 2008 Rolls Royce Phantom. Both are cars, or biological weapons, but there is a difference of several orders of magnitude.

Regardless of how a war against Iran breaks out, it is likely to very quickly escalate to the usage of WMD. There has been talk among USAF war planners of a 1,200 (some say 2,000 to 3,000 or more) target attack on Iran’s nuclear, industrial, military, political and religious infrastructure. If a foreign enemy were to bomb 1,200 or more targets in the United States what would be the response of the American government and it’s military? Actually the answer to this question is well known. The stated doctrine of the United States of America is to rain hundreds of hydrogen bombs (WMD) on the territory and people of such an aggressor; this has been our policy for approximately 60 years. Why do we presuppose that the Iranians would not do the same?

If Iran is hit by either an Israeli and/or an American air attack, it is certain that Iran will respond. This response, even if is non-WMD at first, will certainly result in more escalation and counter-escalation. The chances of a regional Middle East war between Iran/Syria/Hezbollah/Hamas and Israel/USA not becoming a nuclear and advanced biological war nightmare are very low. In fact, since both sides know this, there is a strong military incentive to move to all out usage of WMD when the first bombs begin to fall (in order to utilize more of one’s weaponry before its destruction).

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http://europebusines.blogspot.com/

Earl of Stirling, Hereditary Governor and Lord Lieutenant of Canada. Author of CASH FOR PEERAGES: THE SMOKING GUN (Lulu Press at www.lulu.com/content/953682). Web site: http://europebusines.blogspot.com/

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Earl of Stirling, Hereditary Governor and Lord Lieutenant of Canada. Author of CASH FOR PEERAGES: THE SMOKING GUN (Lulu Press at www.lulu.com/content/953682). Web site: http://europebusines.blogspot.com/
Lord StirlingEarl of Stirling, Hereditary Governor and Lord Lieutenant of Canada. Author of CASH FOR PEERAGES: THE SMOKING GUN (Lulu Press at www.lulu.com/content/953682). Web site: http://europebusines.blogspot.com/

I hold American not British citizenship

Sorry Mark, I hold American citizenship not UK citizenship. Only 92 hereditary peers may sit and vote (and make speeches) in the House of Lords. I have sat in the Peers Gallery on the floor of the House of Lords as the Earl of Stirling but that does not give me voting/speaking privileges. Actually, I sought a "resettlement by Letters Patent" to eliminate the sexist male only rules of succession to my titles and under the rules of the Scots Peerage ("resettlements have the effect of a new grant") and the rules applying to "new" hereditary peers (they shall also have a life barony with rights to sit and vote) I might have had the right to sit/vote/speak (with dual citizenship) but I would not pay a large "donation" to Tony Blair's party. This is all covered in my book, CASH FOR PEERAGES: THE SMOKING GUN.

The Earls of Stirling have always had strong North American historic connections. The first Earl was the founder of English-speaking Canada in the early 1600s and we actually had ownership of almost all of Canada (except Quebec and Newfoundland) and several Northwest American states along with Long Island and other lands in New England. The last person to claim the titles (before me) was Maj. General Lord Stirling of the American Revolutionary Army, he was a close friend to Gen. Washington and Washington's chief financier of the revolution; and a close friend to Maj. General the Marquis de Lafayette (one of my oldest friends is a descendant of Lafayette).

Stirling

by Lord Stirling (16 articles, 0 quicklinks, 3 diaries, 105 comments) on Saturday, July 5, 2008 at 11:43:53 AM
 


A writer is a rogue goose. All other gees fly in a flock formation; every goose knows his place and time for honking. The rogue goose is undisciplined. He leaves the formation indiscriminately to have a look at it from aside. He roams back and forth, takes a peep at the leader, honks a little bit from behind, distracts everyone and writes on what he sees. Time passes and as he wants to return back to his place he discovers someone else there. Thus he either has to wait until they land for rest...

to see more of bio, click on member name

Mark SashineA writer is a rogue goose. All other gees fly in a flock formation; every goose knows his place and time for honking. The rogue goose is undisciplined. He leaves the formation indiscriminately to have a look at it from aside. He roams back and forth, takes a peep at the leader, honks a little bit from behind, distracts everyone and writes on what he sees. Time passes and as he wants to return back to his place he discovers someone else there. Thus he either has to wait until they land for rest...

to see more of bio, click on member name

Well

you certainly come from a great Heritage. But if you  yourself cannot speak, someone else you know can? I am but an immigrant, first generation and already  I can claim to know Lord Stirling:) You should have known many more people, I suppose and one of them at least  should be able to speak.   In any case I sincerely admire your Heritage knowing  as much as I know about great Scotsmen. Do you know that one of  the victors over Napoleon in 1812 in Russia was  general- fieldmarshal Barcley - De - Tolly, the Scottish general on the Russian service.  The Russian great poet Lermontov was of Scottism descent too- original name Lerman. It is also known that a very prominent Russian family the Homutovs come actually from Hamiltons.

 

by Mark Sashine (46 articles, 19 quicklinks, 235 diaries, 3358 comments) on Saturday, July 5, 2008 at 1:32:35 PM
 


Hater of Nazis above all. Hobbies include activism, military model building, military history, exciting and vital conversation with retired crooks. Retired
John HanksHater of Nazis above all. Hobbies include activism, military model building, military history, exciting and vital conversation with retired crooks. Retired

Wars are started from fear.

The only real fear that Republicans have ever had is that they might miss out on stealing the oil.  The rest of us have been conned way too easily and too willingly.  An attack on Iran will be completely for Israel and to serve its desire to continue to be a unilateral nucelar power in the region.  How stupid.  People always defend themselves with a gun when it is too late.

by John Hanks (1 articles, 0 quicklinks, 0 diaries, 1047 comments) on Saturday, July 5, 2008 at 1:36:10 PM
 


Lifelong reader, sometime writer with eclectic tastes and libertarian leanings. Don't hold my semi-notorious Berkeley history against me, I settled down so completely after 40 that I can barely recall my loosy-goosy self. But it sure beats going to the same party every night.
LaudymsLifelong reader, sometime writer with eclectic tastes and libertarian leanings. Don't hold my semi-notorious Berkeley history against me, I settled down so completely after 40 that I can barely recall my loosy-goosy self. But it sure beats going to the same party every night.

This lead up to war with Iran

does feel similar to the blood lust and confusion before WWI (based on what I've read, of course I wasn't there). 

It's reasonable to fear a regional or even world war as a possible result. Our era has led people to feel we control the world.  Of course we don't and our growing complexity makes that ever less likely.

But I do have a problem with all these "knowing" scenarios of bio-terror etc. We don't know what horrors would result from continued destabilization and violence. We just know it will be horrible.

by Laudyms (0 articles, 756 quicklinks, 9 diaries, 371 comments) on Saturday, July 5, 2008 at 2:30:37 PM
 


I am a writer, telecomm bedouin, third-generation seafaring man, and hunted the great steel whales. I went from being tear-gassed at People's Park in Berkeley in 1968 to helping maintain America's Nuclear Deterrent Arsenal and I embrace all the contradictions inherent in that statement.
Ishmael1I am a writer, telecomm bedouin, third-generation seafaring man, and hunted the great steel whales. I went from being tear-gassed at People's Park in Berkeley in 1968 to helping maintain America's Nuclear Deterrent Arsenal and I embrace all the contradictions inherent in that statement.

Look For The Destruction Of The Fifth Fleet To Trigger WMDs

As a former naval weapons systems expert, I have been trying to inform everyone of the Iranian tactical anti-ship arsenal as well. Iran has hundreds of Exocet, Sunburn and Yakhonts missles and Shkval 200 mph supercavitating torpedos. The Sunburn and Yakhonts missles have no known tactical defense. This means Iran has the capability to close the Hormuz straits indefinitely and sink every US naval vessel inside the Persian Gulf. Do we seriously think Bush will shrink from escalating to nuclear weapons if three carrier battle groups(the minimum needed for air operations ove Iran) are sitting in Davey Jones' Locker all in an afternoon with 30,000 sailors entombed within them?

by Ishmael1 (0 articles, 0 quicklinks, 0 diaries, 23 comments) on Saturday, July 5, 2008 at 3:02:27 PM
 


Earl of Stirling, Hereditary Governor and Lord Lieutenant of Canada. Author of CASH FOR PEERAGES: THE SMOKING GUN (Lulu Press at www.lulu.com/content/953682). Web site: http://europebusines.blogspot.com/
Lord StirlingEarl of Stirling, Hereditary Governor and Lord Lieutenant of Canada. Author of CASH FOR PEERAGES: THE SMOKING GUN (Lulu Press at www.lulu.com/content/953682). Web site: http://europebusines.blogspot.com/

Thanks

Thanks for your post.  I agree to an extent with what you say.  The US Navy has run many war games and is/should be fully aware of the dangers, and would normally be expected to stay out of effective range.  However, they answer to the White House as George Bush is the Commander-in-chief.  The Exocet is an old but good quality French anti-shipping missile that caused a lot of trouble for the British Royal Navy in the Falkland Islands War. The SS-N-22 Sunburn (which the Russians call the 3M82 Moskit) is one very nasty piece of work; the SS-N-26 Onyx (also called the Yakhonts and P-800 Oniks by the Russians) is much naster.  The VA-111 Squall (Shkval) is fired from a standard 533mm torpedo tube and reaches 360kph/230mph underwater, that is trurly very nasty.  You should not forget the S-300 PMU-2 (NATO code name SA-10 Gumble) and the S-400 Triumf (SA-21 Growler) air defense systems; there are conflicting reports as to wither or not Russia has/will sell/deploy these to/in Iran.  The AT-14 Kornet, a cheap but very nasty solid fuel anti-tank missile defeated the powerful Israeli Army in the Second Lebanon War.

by Lord Stirling (16 articles, 0 quicklinks, 3 diaries, 105 comments) on Saturday, July 5, 2008 at 9:35:04 PM
 


Honesty is the best policy. Sometimes it hurts to be honest, but as they say in basic training: "Love the pain."

Studying mathematics is better treatment than Thorazine (Tm) or self-medicating with beer.

Run 30 minutes every other day, it's good training for everyone of your problems.

Eochaidh OghaChruithneHonesty is the best policy. Sometimes it hurts to be honest, but as they say in basic training: "Love the pain."

Studying mathematics is better treatment than Thorazine (Tm) or self-medicating with beer.

Run 30 minutes every other day, it's good training for everyone of your problems.

Iran escalating into WWIII

I have to disagree with the Editor.  There are in fact sleeper cells in countries with easier travel restrictions, from which sleeper agents will enter the U.S. when they are told to.  They will also enter the UK, France, Russia, etc. when they have been told that the time has come.  For example, a C.I.A. "asset," Roland Carnaby, died during a training accident in Houston, Texas, trying to guard against a WMD from being brought from an easier target into the US which is a hard target in the espionage and terrorist game.

Also, the only opinion by an expert that has been published in order to stir further debate is that of the American Admiral who stated that Iran blocking the Straights of Hormuz would bring almost the whole world into a war.

Lord Stirling just told it like it is, at this point in time.

by Eochaidh OghaChruithne (0 articles, 0 quicklinks, 0 diaries, 5 comments) on Saturday, July 5, 2008 at 6:00:17 PM
 


Earl of Stirling, Hereditary Governor and Lord Lieutenant of Canada. Author of CASH FOR PEERAGES: THE SMOKING GUN (Lulu Press at www.lulu.com/content/953682). Web site: http://europebusines.blogspot.com/
Lord StirlingEarl of Stirling, Hereditary Governor and Lord Lieutenant of Canada. Author of CASH FOR PEERAGES: THE SMOKING GUN (Lulu Press at www.lulu.com/content/953682). Web site: http://europebusines.blogspot.com/

Thanks for your nice comments.

Thanks for your nice comments.  In asymmetrical warfare you "get outside of the box".  The use of sleeper agents, as well as the sending in of agents in wartime, to spread advanced biowar viruses is a predictable scenario.  I have to disagree with the Editorial comments, biowar agents can be designed to be spread via human agents and in fact there has been a fair amount written on this.  When you think about it, when we have a headcold or the flu we act to aerosal the virus by sneezing (and also by touching our nose/mouth and then touching doornobs etc.).  Advanced biowar is the "poor man's nuke"; a global strategic weapon of mass destruction that kills one human at approximately $1 per kill compared to the nuclear global strategic weapon of mass destuction that kills one human at approximately $1 million per kill.  War is hell on Earth and we need to remember that there is now more than one type of global strategic WMD.  It is simply too late in human history for the neo-cons to be playing the games that they are playing.

Stirling 

by Lord Stirling (16 articles, 0 quicklinks, 3 diaries, 105 comments) on Saturday, July 5, 2008 at 9:51:06 PM
 


I am the author of two novels, "The Bode Testament" and "Impeachment." I am also a retired columnist who keeps a wary eye on other columnists.
Sandy ShanksI am the author of two novels, "The Bode Testament" and "Impeachment." I am also a retired columnist who keeps a wary eye on other columnists.

Over the top

I consider myself somewhat informed on the issue of Iran and the potential of either an American or Israeli strike on that nation, noting that the latter is far less likely, and the former is a possibility as long as Bush/Cheney remain in office. In addition, I have written a few articles on the topic myself.

In my opinion, Lord Stirling went a little over the top in terms of the devastation that would be wrought by the egregiously stupid attack upon Iran. Moreover, the good Lord did not have to attempt to scare us all out of our wits because those of us in the know already realize that such a foolish attack would be catastrophic. The dire possibility that people will suddenly start dying on the streets of L.A. and New York was really quite unnecessary.

Is it not sufficient that an attack on Iran will cause the Mideast to blow up. I am not at all sure that it would result in the total destruction of Israel, Iran, and Syria, probably not, but the conflagration  of the Mideast, the main source of oil for the industrialized West, would result in the collapse of the Western economies along with China, India, and Japan. That is a sufficient deterrent, don't you think.

There was also some concern about the writer who described our carriers being sunk by the Sunburn and other anti-ship missiles. He is correct, because of their enormous speeds, there really isn't any defense against them, not even the Phalanx. However, that is assuming our CBG's will be in the Gulf, within range of these capable missiles. In war time, no self-respecting admiral worth his salt would place his ships in the restricted waters of the Gulf. In war time, CBG's want the wide open spaces, the Arabian Sea comes to mind, even the Indian Ocean.

On the other hand, I don't wish to give Bush any ideas. 

by Sandy Shanks (9 articles, 0 quicklinks, 0 diaries, 34 comments) on Saturday, July 5, 2008 at 7:23:55 PM
 


Earl of Stirling, Hereditary Governor and Lord Lieutenant of Canada. Author of CASH FOR PEERAGES: THE SMOKING GUN (Lulu Press at www.lulu.com/content/953682). Web site: http://europebusines.blogspot.com/
Lord StirlingEarl of Stirling, Hereditary Governor and Lord Lieutenant of Canada. Author of CASH FOR PEERAGES: THE SMOKING GUN (Lulu Press at www.lulu.com/content/953682). Web site: http://europebusines.blogspot.com/

Only God knows

Thanks for your comments. Only God really knows what is to come in our future. However, my projections are a realistic worse case scenario. We simply cannot assume that we can inflict mass damage and death to a nation and that they will not hit back at us with everything that they have. We certainly would not sit back if the shoe were on the other foot. We know that Iran has invested in asymmetrical warfare; we know that Iran hired some of the top former Soviet advanced biowar experts. Far too much of the debate about a possible war on Iran has been two dimensional, what we will do/what we can do to them and not what can they do to us in return. This only serves the interests of the half-mad neo-cons who want a war with Iran and Syria. A good rule of thumb is never to underestimate your enemy and to remember the old saying "alls fair in love and war".
Stirling

by Lord Stirling (16 articles, 0 quicklinks, 3 diaries, 105 comments) on Saturday, July 5, 2008 at 9:09:42 PM
 


I am the author of two novels, "The Bode Testament" and "Impeachment." I am also a retired columnist who keeps a wary eye on other columnists.
Sandy ShanksI am the author of two novels, "The Bode Testament" and "Impeachment." I am also a retired columnist who keeps a wary eye on other columnists.

Over the top

Mr. Stirling, in your reply to me, you stated, "... my projections are a realistic worse case scenario." I might question the term, "realistic," and whether your projections in terms of an attack on the West are feasible, but I'll pass and focus on the phrase "worst case scenario." I might add, I am happy you admitted that, because, indeed, it is worst case scenario. So "worse" as to being beyond comprehension. Born in 1943 I lived much of my adult life during the Cold War. I have some first-hand knowledge of worst case scenarios, and yet we are all still standing, the West and Russia (Soviet Union). Sir, you are, obviously, an intelligent and very savvy man. Thus, it will come as no shock to you that the threat posed by the Soviet Union during the Cold War is a hundred times, a thousand times, greater than the threat posed by a third rate power like Iran.
 
You then stated, "We simply cannot assume that we can inflict mass damage and death to a nation [Iran] and that they will not hit back at us with everything that they have." Pardon me, Sir, but I will assume that. If Bush is foolish enough to launch a surgical air strike on Iran's air defenses, command and control facilities, and Iran's nuclear infrastructure - and I am not talking nukes here, not even Bush is that stupid - that will not cause the demise of the Iranian nation, and the Iranian leadership knows it. They know something else. If they "hit back at us with everything that they have" that will cause the extinction of the Iranian nation, again, a third rate power that can't even begin to compete with American military power.
 
Will Iran react to an American military strike? Of course, they will, but they will react where they are strongest, not weakest, meaning global endeavors. They will react in their backyard, the Mideast, and American units in Iraq come to mind. They may try to disrupt oil exports to the Western world, although that would be economic suicide. I seriously doubt that they would attack Israel or that they would instruct Hezbollah in Lebanon to do so. Why? It is really quite simple. If Bush foolishly attacks Iran, almost immediately American air superiority would be established. Iran may not wish to invite the Americans to strike again by acting rashly. Why, in the name of Heaven, with American air superiority established, would the Iranians invite the IDF into the fray. Moreover, Hezbollah is clearly no match for a determined, all-out effort by the IDF. Hezbollah attacking Israel would be suicidal ... for Hezbollah. Also, Hezbollah, although it engages in fiery rhetoric, is not stupid.
 
Syria is a non-sequitor. Israel has already defeated her four times.
 
So, there you have it. A Bush strike on Iran will cause enormous strife, human and economical, and Constitutional and political issues at home possibly resulting in martial law and the suspension of the Nov. elections, but Apocalypse, no.   

by Sandy Shanks (9 articles, 0 quicklinks, 0 diaries, 34 comments) on Sunday, July 6, 2008 at 8:48:18 PM
 


Earl of Stirling, Hereditary Governor and Lord Lieutenant of Canada. Author of CASH FOR PEERAGES: THE SMOKING GUN (Lulu Press at www.lulu.com/content/953682). Web site: http://europebusines.blogspot.com/
Lord StirlingEarl of Stirling, Hereditary Governor and Lord Lieutenant of Canada. Author of CASH FOR PEERAGES: THE SMOKING GUN (Lulu Press at www.lulu.com/content/953682). Web site: http://europebusines.blogspot.com/

Thanks.

Thanks for your comments. There are indications that many in Israel, including some in powerful positions are having second thoughts. As their intelligence services read blogs like this, I am hopeful that more Israelis will begin to wake up before it is too late.

Stirling

by Lord Stirling (16 articles, 0 quicklinks, 3 diaries, 105 comments) on Saturday, July 5, 2008 at 10:08:07 PM
 


Earl of Stirling, Hereditary Governor and Lord Lieutenant of Canada. Author of CASH FOR PEERAGES: THE SMOKING GUN (Lulu Press at www.lulu.com/content/953682). Web site: http://europebusines.blogspot.com/
Lord StirlingEarl of Stirling, Hereditary Governor and Lord Lieutenant of Canada. Author of CASH FOR PEERAGES: THE SMOKING GUN (Lulu Press at www.lulu.com/content/953682). Web site: http://europebusines.blogspot.com/

Brief update.

Just a brief update. The Sunday Times (London, England) on 6th July 2008 has published an article titled "Germ Warfare Fear Over African Monkeys Taken To Iran". This can be read online at www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/africa/article4276460.ece

Stirling

by Lord Stirling (16 articles, 0 quicklinks, 3 diaries, 105 comments) on Saturday, July 5, 2008 at 11:13:17 PM
 


NOBODY WITH TO MUCH TRUTH IT HURTS
RICH SHANOBODY WITH TO MUCH TRUTH IT HURTS

SOUNDS LIKE A BAD DAY AT BLACK ROCK

SO WE ARE JUST GOING TO TALK THIS TO DEATH, AND DIE TALKING, THINK WHAT THE AMERICAN PEOPLE DID IN THE 60'S, HIT THE STREETS AND PROTEST, OR HAS THE FLUORIDE DONE ITS JOB.

by RICH SHA (0 articles, 0 quicklinks, 0 diaries, 106 comments) on Sunday, July 6, 2008 at 1:15:15 AM
 


The articles reflect additional thoughts that expand on the author's ten volumes Genesis Begins the Millennia. The work begins in 1995 with a fictional account of ordinary Israelis absorbed with everyday events. There are extraordinary happenings the characters gradually recognize as portents of the Messianic Age. Volumes four and five show why the Messiah decided to delay His arrival.
Volumes six through ten [Tradebombers] begin six weeks before the 9/11 World Trade Center tragedy. Again,...

to see more of bio, click on member name

Jason PazThe articles reflect additional thoughts that expand on the author's ten volumes Genesis Begins the Millennia. The work begins in 1995 with a fictional account of ordinary Israelis absorbed with everyday events. There are extraordinary happenings the characters gradually recognize as portents of the Messianic Age. Volumes four and five show why the Messiah decided to delay His arrival.
Volumes six through ten [Tradebombers] begin six weeks before the 9/11 World Trade Center tragedy. Again,...

to see more of bio, click on member name

Wiser Words Were Never Written

"It is simply too late in human history for the neo-cons to be playing the games that they are playing."

Recently, a Tehran official promised to attack Israel if the US attacked him. This suggests a number of items.

1. Iran can not hit the USA. She has neglected to buy and to deploy WMD such as atomic suitcase bombs that could severely damage America.

2. Israelis will never launch a preemptive nuclear war, as each of us would suffer 1,000,000 in hell for the affront.

3. Our sages say all the nations will unite to make war on Israel and our Ally, God. They will destroy Israel, but God will end life on this planet through natural disasters.

4. The USA can not win a land war against Iran. The conquest of oilfields is not in the cards.

5. Disrupting China's oil supply would at least result in her calling in US debts.

6. If the foolish Americans nuke Iran, it could wipe out the ozone layer ending life on Earth. Three hundred millions Americans could holiday in hell 1,000,000 years. 

by Jason Paz (0 articles, 0 quicklinks, 0 diaries, 72 comments) on Sunday, July 6, 2008 at 4:50:49 AM
 


Earl of Stirling, Hereditary Governor and Lord Lieutenant of Canada. Author of CASH FOR PEERAGES: THE SMOKING GUN (Lulu Press at www.lulu.com/content/953682). Web site: http://europebusines.blogspot.com/
Lord StirlingEarl of Stirling, Hereditary Governor and Lord Lieutenant of Canada. Author of CASH FOR PEERAGES: THE SMOKING GUN (Lulu Press at www.lulu.com/content/953682). Web site: http://europebusines.blogspot.com/

Something has done its job.

I was an antiwar activist during the Vietnam War (I know, so how did I end up consulting to aerospace firms on weapons and war ~ actually, I am very analytical by nature and during the Vietnam War one of the questions that I looked hard at was why was America not winning militarily and that took me into the field of theoretical warfare). I was actively involved in demonstrations in a number of cities and had a nice FBI file on myself. It is interesting that there is so little activist activity today. Part of it is that there is no draft; another part is that the news media is keeping the images of dead Americans from us. We have also been dumbed down by television to a large extent. The news media is controlled by a relatively small number of companies and they follow a corporatist line. Ten years ago, I was about to start a fourth national television evening newscast in America, to compete with ABC/CBS/NBC. I had $175 million in funding lined up but walked away when my 42 year old wife was diagnosed with advanced terminal ovarian cancer (I felt I had to take care of her full time ~ she died 11 months later). The process of setting up a national television news operation was most interesting but the one thing that kept me up at nights was the worry of just how far I could go in telling the truth and live. There are very powerful forces at work in the world that are very evil. For these dark forces, truth is the enemy. They work very hard to keep and raise most people like you raise mushrooms ~ "keep them in the dark and feed them manure". It appears that they have been successful with many people, however, sites like this are a great beacon of freedom for humanity. I wonder if the growing economic nightmare will light a fire under more and more people and we will begin to see people demonstrating, and in general waking up to the real dangers that humanity faces from the evil intentions of many in power.

Stirling

by Lord Stirling (16 articles, 0 quicklinks, 3 diaries, 105 comments) on Sunday, July 6, 2008 at 10:58:04 AM
 


Earl of Stirling, Hereditary Governor and Lord Lieutenant of Canada. Author of CASH FOR PEERAGES: THE SMOKING GUN (Lulu Press at www.lulu.com/content/953682). Web site: http://europebusines.blogspot.com/
Lord StirlingEarl of Stirling, Hereditary Governor and Lord Lieutenant of Canada. Author of CASH FOR PEERAGES: THE SMOKING GUN (Lulu Press at www.lulu.com/content/953682). Web site: http://europebusines.blogspot.com/

Thanks Sandy

Thanks for your comments Sandy. Actually there are worse worse case scenarios but I think that the one that I described is frighting enough. It took me over a week to write it, I was so upset at the scenario described. However, the scenario is a likely outcome of a massive USAF and/or IDF attack on Iran. I am always more than a little concerned about "surgical" strikes in a political and military environment like the Middle East. Among other things I am an historian by training and this environment reminds me of the eve of the First World War....when "the lights in the chanceries went out". In any event, most of what I read tells me that we are not just looking at a handful of limited air strikes but a thousand to several thousand air strikes.

One reason that I wrote this article was to point out a problem that I see with many peoples projections on a war with Iran. That is we can do anything but the Iranians will hold back. It does not always work like that in the real world. Once the killing starts, especially in a super charged environment like the Middle East, things can get out of control very easy and very quickly. That may not be an outcome we want to consider, or even can handle thinking about, but we had better consider less than our "reasonable and best" views of what will happen.

The rockets and missiles in Lebanon/etc. are meant as a checkmate to stop neo-con/Israeli attacks against Iran. If they fail to do their primary job they may well be used in a all out battle. That is a terrible but reasonable possibilty.

Stirling

by Lord Stirling (16 articles, 0 quicklinks, 3 diaries, 105 comments) on Sunday, July 6, 2008 at 9:59:57 PM
 


I am the author of two novels, "The Bode Testament" and "Impeachment." I am also a retired columnist who keeps a wary eye on other columnists.
Sandy ShanksI am the author of two novels, "The Bode Testament" and "Impeachment." I am also a retired columnist who keeps a wary eye on other columnists.

Thanks, Sandy

You are welcome, Mr. Stirling. I think we both would agree, you, I, and others have beaten this to death.

Excellent discussion. 

by Sandy Shanks (9 articles, 0 quicklinks, 0 diaries, 34 comments) on Tuesday, July 8, 2008 at 5:48:22 PM
 

 

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