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July 1, 2009 at 18:20:39

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Promoted to Headline (H3) on 7/2/09:

Liquidation and Creative Destruction.

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By Shalom P. Hamou (about the author)     Page 1 of 4 page(s)

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For OpEdNews: Shalom P. Hamou - Writer

Plea for a New World Economic Order.


Chapter II, Paragraph 3:
Liquidation and Creative Destruction.

"I do not take this view. I find the explanation of the current business losses, of the reduction in output, and of the unemployment which necessarily ensues on this not in the high level of investment which was proceeding up to the spring of 1929, but in the subsequent cessation of this investment.


I see no hope of a recovery except in a revival of the high level of investment. And I do not understand how universal bankruptcy can do any good or bring us nearer to prosperity... [p. 349]"



John Maynard Keynes
The General Theory and After.
Part I, Preparation.

Abstract:

This paper denounce Keynes' theory which says that the level of Investment before 1929 was not the cause of the Depression that ensued.

It examines the validity of Liquidationism and the notions that relate to it.

As we get into the Liquidity Trap there will, of course, be a feud between the advocates of laissez-faire, the Liquidationists, and the advocate of government intervention, the Keynesians.

Although no one seems to have been Liquidationist (The Austrian school seems to say that they never were, contrary to the views of Brad deLong and Paul Krugman (The Hangover Theory.)) However, Friedrich August von Hayek have been a Liquidationist.

Another point of view is that of Joseph Alois Schumpeter (February 8, 1883 – January 8, 1950), who invented the notion of Creative Destruction. This last notion is more about an economic Darwinism - which is relevant, according to him, whatever the state of the economy. It relates to the omnipotence of Markets. Refer to Chapter II, Paragraph5: The State of Long-Term Expectation. The Austrians were quick to point out that although Schumpeter was an Austrian economist he didn't belong to the Austrian school.

What we are concerned with is Liquidation in a Depression.

The Austrian School has always denied the existence of the Liquidity Trap, but Friedrich August von Hayek had his opinion on the Economic Depression:

"The second point is that up to 1927 I should, indeed, have expected that because, during the preceding boom period, prices did not rise-but rather tended to fall-the subsequent depression would be very mild. But, as is well known, in that year an entirely unprecedented action was taken by the American monetary authorities, which makes it impossible to compare the effects of the boom on the subsequent depression with any previous experience.

The authorities succeeded, by means of an easy-money policy, inaugurated as soon as the symptoms of an impending reaction were noticed, in prolonging the boom for two years beyond what would otherwise have been its natural end.

And when the crisis finally occurred, for almost two more years, deliberate attempts were made to prevent, by all conceivable means, the normal process of liquidation.

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Shalom P. Hamou Tel Aviv, Ramat Aviv, Israel I am the youngest economist at My Yield Curve. Since spring of 1994 I have been working on economic depressions. I am writing The Tract The Religious Interpretation of (more...)
 

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I have no idea by Don Smith on Friday, Jul 3, 2009 at 10:52:38 AM

 
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