Tags for This Article:

Democracy (1821)  Election Theft (698) 

Populum Tag Cloud
       Control Panel
Fine tune your search to access content
Articles
Diaries Products
Events All
All time
Last 6 mos
Last month
Last week
Last 24 hrs
From:
Month  Day   Year

To:
Month  Day   Year
Alphabet
Popularity
Count ON
Count OFF
This Level
Sub-levels

 

 

 

Tag(s): ;
Add to My Group
June 13, 2007 at 04:13:27

2004 Election: The Urban Legend - Bush Won in Big Cities

by Michael Collins     Page 7 of 11 page(s)

www.opednews.com

 
Tell A Friend

View Ratings | Rate It  

Never mind the fact that exit polling reported that 95%, 66%, and 80% of black, Latino and Jewish voters supported Kerry. Never mind the fact that these voters represent over 50% of the United States urban population. Never mind the fact that whites in big cities are the most liberal group of whites in the nation. Finally, never mind that the new voter findings nationwide showed a 3 to 2 advantage for Kerry and that 40% of the voters in the big cities were new voters.

If there were ever a campaign that ignored on-the-ground efforts in big cities while espousing positions opposed by many in those cities, it was the 2004 Republican presidential campaign Bush was a divider not a uniter who pitted rural and suburban citizens against urban dwellers using wedge issues: the Iraq war; anti gay marriage amendments; religion forced into competition with science; the refusal to conduct stem cell research based on religious views; and opposition to a living wage for the poor. Then there was the Bush signal of solidarity to white conservatives by refusing to attend even one NAACP annual convention or Martin Luther King Day celebration. Bush was AWOL for the black voters other than the sanitized White House events.

The Bush campaign focused its efforts heavily, almost exclusively, on the rural areas and suburbs in order to counter the anticipated big city Democratic margins. But then the miracle occurred just when it was needed. White ghosts never seen before emerged from parking lots, alleys and perhaps even graveyards in big cities across the country to give George W. Bush a stunning victory in the presidential election of 2004. It had to be this way, otherwise the vote count was wrong and who would tolerate such a notion, despite the clear signs on the ground and in the National Exit Poll? But the convenient and wide spread Red versus Blue story of election eve was maintained through inertia. For those with nagging questions, that story was replaced by the Urban Legend of 2004: Bush won the 2004 Presidential election in big cities.

The exit polls weighted a voting block into existence but the pollsters will have to work much harder to get anyone serious about the election to believe that those voters were found anywhere other than in weighting formulas generated to ratify the vote totals
At this point we have to believe two absurdities:

Bush lost a huge portion of his core constituency, rural America, which dropped from 23% to 16% of the overall vote total; yet he won the election. Rural citizens gave Bush 2.5 million fewer votes in 2004 than they contributed in 2000. In the small town segment, voting increased substantially and helped Kerry get to a break even point Yet Bush managed to be the only presidential candidate to win a high turnout election after losing his base; an election where overall turnout was up 16% overall but total presidential votes were down 17% in the rural base areas.

Bush won a huge increase in urban America, a place where Bush didn’t advertise significantly, where the GOTV effort was unnoticeable compared to Kerry’s, and where he was clearly an unpopular president; yet he won the election. For example, by 2005 50% of New Yorkers said that the federal government had “foreknowledge of 911” yet let it happen, he improved his vote count by over 20%. In the 32 big cities across America, he was able to piece together a remarkable increase in his vote from 2000 to carry him over the top and elect him President. We must believe this if we accept the final vote count as accurate. These cauldrons of hostility and suspicion about Bush paused on Election Day 2004, reflected, and suspended their animus at least when they voted.

It borders on the absurd to believe that Bush won reelection on the basis of this huge increase in big city votes and vote share from 2000 to 2004. We’re supposed to believe that he went from 2.3 million big city votes in 2000 to 5.4 million in 2004, a 153% increase. This artifact of the NEP’s weighting process is a dead letter that simply can’t be delivered. It strains the limits of credulity, although no one noticed or those who did weren’t talking. There was something very wrong with the NEP weighting process, specifically big city results. This is apparent from the analysis just completed. But there’s something much more troubling about the vote total.

And this is the problem

There have been heated debates on the internet regarding the outcome of the 2004 election. Much of the analysis focuses on the disparity between released and unreleased national exit polls. The mainstream media has not covered this controversy. Yet by August, 2006 more than half of Americans had expressed doubts that the 2004 results were fair and square according to a Zogby Poll of 1018 registered voters nationwide. [5] '

For this study, we chose the less controversial approach of using the final, revised exit poll with a focus on the stated purposes of the exit poll, who were the voters and where did they cast their ballots. Why not take the numbers the pollsters finalized the day after the election. Yet after careful scrutiny, we’ve shown that the NEP’s urban demographic data just don’t add up to even a remotely convincing explanation for a Bush victory. The data is clearly inconsistent, incompatible, and results in a conundrum rather than clarity about what happened on Nov. 2 2004. Doubt leads to disbelief.

And then there’s one more problem that casts doubt on the entire process. The NEP reports a 66% increase in voter turnout in the big cities, from 9 million votes in 2000 to 15 million in 2006. This provides foundation for the increases in Bush urban votes and percentages, even though there is no common sense or historical reason to believe such an increase in Bush votes ever took place, as we’ve demonstrated.

Now here’s the shocker. In addition to the analysis above, the 66% vote increase in the urban areas simply can’t be true on the basis of actual reports of big city vote totals. Why hasn’t this been widely discussed?

We have no idea but contradictory data exists which represents a huge problem.

While investigating the results of 2004, this inquiry asked about city specific results.

The response from a number of authorities was that these figures were difficult to find. Since counties reported totals; there was no one place that where a complete report of actual voting results for big city voting would show up. That’s true but data is available for 12 of the 24 big cities for 2000 and 2004 and it shows nothing close to a 66% increase in turnout. These cities represent 61% of the total big city population as defined by the NEP; 23 million of the 38 million total inhabitants of big cities in 2004.

Actual Big City Votes – 2000 and 2004
Official results reported by state and local boards of elections
These 12 cities represent 61% of the 2004 Big

 1  |  2  |  3  |  4  |  5  |  6  |  7  |  8  |  9  |  10  |  11

 

http://electionfraudnews.com

Michael Collins is a writer who focuses on clean elections and voting rights. See this summary of his articles plus Election 2004: The Urban Legend and groundbreaking research and commentary in "" His web site, Election Fraud News & The Money Party, offers a collection of resources and commentary on critical issues facing the country.

Contact Author
Contact Editor
View Other Articles by Author

 

Bookmark this page: (what's this?)

NETSCAPE      DIGG THIS      Add This Page to Mr Wong!           NEWSVINE      DEl.ICIO.US      Looksmart Furl      My Web      Tag!RawSugar      Blink List     (More...)
Comments: Expand   Shrink   Hide  
13 comments

Have been a soldier, an intelligence analyst, an engineer, a physicist, and a writer.

Right now mostly a writer.

camHave been a soldier, an intelligence analyst, an engineer, a physicist, and a writer.

Right now mostly a writer.

Explain the mechanism

You analysis appears to founder on the shoals of the actual vote count. As I understand your analysis, your "phantom" voters are not excess votes but either a massive shift in urban voter allegiance or a vast number of votes tallied to the wrong candidate.

A fraudulent count implies an underlying mechanism. You imply the mechanism but not its workings. How was it done?

by cam (0 articles, 0 quicklinks, 0 diaries, 54 comments) on Wednesday, June 13, 2007 at 8:51:06 AM
 


A Bleeding heart liberal from California
Bleeding Heart LiberalA Bleeding heart liberal from California

How Voting may have been rigged

Most likely mechanism of vote rigging was the optical scan machines. See Chap 5 of Bev Harris' book http://www.blackboxvoting.org/bbv_chapter-5.pdf

Quote:

 How to compromise an optical-scan system Optical-scan systems involve filling in an oval or drawing an arrow on a paper ballot, which then is fed into a scanner. People think these systems can’t be rigged because they have a paper ballot, but there are anecdotal reports of optical scan systems flipping elections as far back as 1980.

An election official I spoke with from California reported that in her county, Jimmy Carter soundly defeated Ronald Reagan during the 1980 presidential election. However, the computer tally from the optical scanner reversed the results, giving Carter’s votes to Reagan and vice versa. By doing a hand audit using the paper ballots, they were able to straighten out the results, but when she requested that the state of California do more audits to see how widespread the problem was, she was ignored.

Most people believe that optical-scan machines are tamper-proof because they provide a paper ballot. But election officials generally don’t use the ballots to check the machine count, and in some states it’s against the law to do so. If you don’t audit properly, opticalscan machines are no safer than paperless touch screens.

Some people think that all we need to do is vote absentee and the touch-screen problem is solved. Unfortunately it will not be solved until we actually look at those ballots. When you vote absentee, your ballot is usually run through an optical-scan machine. Hack either the scanner or the main accumulation and you take the election away, while ballots sit forlorn in a box that no one is allowed to open.

The official results come from the county, not the polling place, so if you adjust the optical scan data before it gets into the county accumulator, you’ve just rigged the election. No one’s going to look at those paper ballots, but if they do a spot check, see below. I’ll show you how a crooked programmer can create a safety net for spot checks.

by Bleeding Heart Liberal (0 articles, 1 quicklinks, 0 diaries, 48 comments) on Wednesday, June 13, 2007 at 11:22:28 AM
 


Michael Collins is a writer who focuses on clean elections and voting rights. See this summary of his articles plus Election 2004: The Urban Legend and groundbreaking research and commentary in "" His web site, Election Fraud News & The Money Party, offers a collection of resources and commentary on critical issues facing the country.
Michael CollinsMichael Collins is a writer who focuses on clean elections and voting rights. See this summary of his articles plus Election 2004: The Urban Legend and groundbreaking research and commentary in "" His web site, Election Fraud News & The Money Party, offers a collection of resources and commentary on critical issues facing the country.

Well said Rajiv, bears repeating...

"Some people think that all we need to do is vote absentee and the touch-screen problem is solved. Unfortunately it will not be solved until we actually look at those ballots. When you vote absentee, your ballot is usually run through an optical-scan machine. Hack either the scanner or the main accumulation and you take the election away, while ballots sit forlorn in a box that no one is allowed to open."

People need to have full access to registration, voting, and counting processes...open witnessing. England has it, why not here?

But the key point is that a permissive environment for secrecy and cutting corners has no counterweight, other than those highly focused on the issue, and we lack sufficient girth (to stay with the metaphor).

When results like this come out, they must be challenged.

Those elected have to show that they were truly elected, not just digitally self or "other" appointed.

 

by Michael Collins (96 articles, 16 quicklinks, 5 diaries, 344 comments) on Wednesday, June 13, 2007 at 2:33:32 PM
 


Michael Collins is a writer who focuses on clean elections and voting rights. See this summary of his articles plus Election 2004: The Urban Legend and groundbreaking research and commentary in "" His web site, Election Fraud News & The Money Party, offers a collection of resources and commentary on critical issues facing the country.
Michael CollinsMichael Collins is a writer who focuses on clean elections and voting rights. See this summary of his articles plus Election 2004: The Urban Legend and groundbreaking research and commentary in "" His web site, Election Fraud News & The Money Party, offers a collection of resources and commentary on critical issues facing the country.

Thanks for asking...

I focused on the lack of any sensible path to a Bush victory, from a new angle, thanks to web commentator Anaxarchos. There is simply no sensible way to lose your base and rock on into the night picking up huge gains hostile territory, thus winning the eleciton. That hasn't happened before. We're taking this from the simplest vantage point - plausibility - a 66% presidential turnout increase in big citeis; 80% increase in white voters over 2000 in those big cities (5 to 9 million, 80% more white voters); the absense of any Get Out The Vote (GOTV). In the big cities of those called, only 1 in 10 received calls from the Republicans. The nine other calls were from the Democrats. It goes on and on.

Establishing this with obvious arguments that everyone can understand:

Collins: "Bush won it in the big cities!"

City friend: "Knock it off, what's the matter with you today?"

Collins: "No seriously, he's base in rural/red America was on strike election day, way down in total votes and Bush votes. So he used that city charm of his and all those great things he did for cities and pulled it out at the last minute."

City friend: "Nah, com'on...stop messing with me."

My suburban and country friends would say the same thing. That's the imiportance of this case. You don't need a stat background to get it.

The mechanism is well presented as referenced below in a response to your question. Also, take a look at this. It's a comprehensive and elegant statement of the mechanisim of election fruad. Quite persuasive.

Thanks for your point.

Scoop - The Sludge Report - Bigger than Watergate II

 

 

by Michael Collins (96 articles, 16 quicklinks, 5 diaries, 344 comments) on Wednesday, June 13, 2007 at 2:26:44 PM
 


Registered voter in West Chester, Ohio
sbakerRegistered voter in West Chester, Ohio

still?

still we are trying to convince ourselves that Bush was not elected? How much time will we waste in this futile effort. Bush Won, twice. MOVEON.ORG

by sbaker (0 articles, 0 quicklinks, 0 diaries, 127 comments) on Wednesday, June 13, 2007 at 1:18:38 PM
 


Middle aged guy.
Alessandro MachiMiddle aged guy.

Explosion in votes for Republicans...

I did some research a few years ago on prior presidential vote totals for both democratic and republican presidential elections.  Over the past several presidential elections since the late 80's, the Democratic vote totals have always increased at a very steady rate of between 8-12% for each and every election, whereas the republicans experienced a one time only "explosion" voter increase  of 25% increase between 2000 & 2004 elections. (I am recalling the data from memory and apologize if I have misstated the data).


Just what did Mr. Bush do to justify a 25% increase in vote totals compared to his prior election win when that represented well over a 100% increase in the rate of increase for Republican vote totals?

by Alessandro Machi (13 articles, 0 quicklinks, 1 diaries, 174 comments) on Wednesday, June 13, 2007 at 1:38:16 PM
 


Michael Collins is a writer who focuses on clean elections and voting rights. See this summary of his articles plus Election 2004: The Urban Legend and groundbreaking research and commentary in "" His web site, Election Fraud News & The Money Party, offers a collection of resources and commentary on critical issues facing the country.
Michael CollinsMichael Collins is a writer who focuses on clean elections and voting rights. See this summary of his articles plus Election 2004: The Urban Legend and groundbreaking research and commentary in "" His web site, Election Fraud News & The Money Party, offers a collection of resources and commentary on critical issues facing the country.

What did he do indeed.

He was below 50% throughout the campaign, he was taking a thumping in new registraitons, GOTV activities in cities and suburbs, the small towns turned on him in a huge way, and the rural folks went from 23% to 16% of the electorate.  Yet he won, imagine that.  What nonsense...but we buy it.  The public is more able to find information through alternative channels and theirs a lot of cynicism out there, comendable given the performance of the WH.

I'd be interested to see what you came up with.  There are somethings that just don't happen, like  Bush getting a 153% increase in votes from 2000 to 2004... When do they roll out the slide show for some terrific Bridge in Brooklyn, your's for a song.

 

by Michael Collins (96 articles, 16 quicklinks, 5 diaries, 344 comments) on Wednesday, June 13, 2007 at 2:39:06 PM
 


Retired Educator Who Believes in a Constitutional Government of equal citizens.I d/p>I believe in the right of an active informed Citizenry to formulate responsible policy. I believe in hand counted paper ballots. We need small group meetings where a citizens can gather periodically give voice to their concerns, make decisions and act politically to implement their decisions.
Bucky the CommonerRetired Educator Who Believes in a Constitutional Government of equal citizens.I d/p>I believe in the right of an active informed Citizenry to formulate responsible policy. I believe in hand counted paper ballots. We need small group meetings where a citizens can gather periodically give voice to their concerns, make decisions and act politically to implement their decisions.

Quote on fraudulent vote counting

"It is not the people who vote that count, It is the people who count the votes."

Josef Stalin

I will never trust any method but counting and tallying hand marked paper ballots at the precinct level. Paper ballots always have provided an accountable paper trail in the past. Why ruin a good system by replacing it with one that ordinary voters rightfully do not trust. And further to that it provides jobs at the local level where they are not needed with a minimum of bureaucracy.

 

by Bucky the Commoner (0 articles, 0 quicklinks, 0 diaries, 44 comments) on Wednesday, June 13, 2007 at 1:56:47 PM
 


Holly Berkowitz, RHIT in Health Information Managment and BA in Linguistics produces a weekly television series, Nature's Logic documenting sounds and images of nature for relaxation. She lives in Iowa City, Iowa with her husband, children and dog in a cabin in the woods by the Iowa river.
HollyBerkowitzHolly Berkowitz, RHIT in Health Information Managment and BA in Linguistics produces a weekly television series, Nature's Logic documenting sounds and images of nature for relaxation. She lives in Iowa City, Iowa with her husband, children and dog in a cabin in the woods by the Iowa river.

The evidence has become overwhelming: And accountability?

The evidence has become overwhelming that this Bush-Cheney White House has lied illegally about 9/11, WMD, Saddam Hussein's links to 9/11, Saddam Hussein's nuclear capacity and the real reason for invading Iraq....oil....to cause a criminal war of aggression against Iraq, criminal wars of aggression, plural, if Bush-Cheney's Lay's Enron also needed 9/11 as an "excuse" to invade Afghanistan to erect and oil pipeline through Afghanistan to connect the "cheaper" oil of the Caspian Sea with Enron's power plants in northern India...yet another criminal conflict of interest.


The eivdence has become overwhelming that this Bush-Cheney White House authorized illegal spying on thousands of innocent Americans and authorized torture and other war crimes banned by civil laws of civil nations ....9/11 Bush-Cheney's "excuse"...at our expense.

The evidence has become overwhelming that this Bush-Cheney White House needed 9/11 as an "excuse" to cause war for private profiteering to pay back war profiteers, oil barons and no-bid contractors (Carlyle Group, Enron, Bush & Bin Laden families, Cheney's Halliburton, Rumsfeld's Tamiflu) that put Bush-Cheney into our White House illegitimately in 2000 and 2004 (Palast, Kennedy), put the GOP in the White House in 2008 with no paper trail (Diebold, ESS).

I should not need to spend hours and days and weeks and months and years trying to protect myself, my family, my nation from criminals in my White House.

Investigate, indict and impeach for "high crimes" such as treason now..before it's too late.

Holly Berkowitz, RHIT

by HollyBerkowitz (0 articles, 0 quicklinks, 0 diaries, 8 comments) on Thursday, June 14, 2007 at 3:59:51 PM
 


John Smith is an engineer, musician, and political junky. He prides himself on his ability to explain technical issues to non-technical people.
John SmithJohn Smith is an engineer, musician, and political junky. He prides himself on his ability to explain technical issues to non-technical people.

what do the numbers say

There was a strong implication in your article that the total number of votes reported was much greater than the number of votes that were cast. Is it possible that this is true and noone noticed ? Is there any way of getting the numbers ?

by John Smith (0 articles, 0 quicklinks, 0 diaries, 1 comments) on Thursday, June 14, 2007 at 9:00:06 PM
 


I am a social worker who works with chronically mentally ill people.  Like enjoy reading, quilting and visiting with people
beccyI am a social worker who works with chronically mentally ill people.  Like enjoy reading, quilting and visiting with people

2004 Election

While it seems that the bush administration were busy little beavers on election night 2004.  I remember that day so well.  I lost alot of faith in my country that day.  I was a democratic checker in a black area of town.  People stood in line for up to three hours until people thought of ways to speed the process up.  Then the republican party had white people come in from a bible school up north.  I never would have believed that people would harrass someone to keep them from voting if I hadn't seen it with my own eyes.  I find myself staying away from anyone who voted for him.  I have no respect for them.  I would not want my choice of President to get into office if he didn't win.  My mother thinks that god works in strange ways.  If her god put king george in office I want nothing to do with him.

by beccy (0 articles, 0 quicklinks, 0 diaries, 87 comments) on Friday, June 15, 2007 at 10:32:40 PM
 

 

13 comments

 

Tell A Friend

 


Copyright © OpEdNews, 2002-2008

Blog Ads

 

 

 

 

Most Popular Articles
in the Last 2 Days
(by Recommend Emails)

BARACK OBAMA On Gandhi's Birthday by Stephen Fox

The dangerous McCain/Palin character assassination of Obama by Sherman Yellen

Naomi Wolf Must Watch Video: A Coup Took Place on October 1, 2008 by youtube

PECK, PECK... SQUAWK! by Rip Rense

Obama Must Appoint a Consumer Protectionist as FDA Commissioner by Stephen Fox

Sarah Palin; Secessionist-- powerful new Youtube Video by youtube

Sarah Palin Broke The Ethics Law In Alaska, And Can Be Impeached by Rev. Bill McGinnis

A Solution? by Paul Craig Roberts

Palin Guilty - Troopergate Witnesses & McCain Campaign Obstructed Justice by Steven Leser

What I Learned At The Sarah Palin Rally Before They Threw Me Out! by Linda Milazzo

Go To Top 50 Most Popular