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Bush Administration admits Iran is probably not pursuing a Nuclear Weapons Program

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[and from earlier in the same article]

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Yes, they might acquire a little bit more, perfecting the knowledge, but to aim at denying a country knowledge is almost impossible, to say the least. And there´s a big difference between acquiring the knowledge for enrichment and developing a bomb. It is almost impossible for a country to, particularly because this right is quoted under the NPT [Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty], and the difference between acquiring knowledge and having a bomb is at least five to ten years away.

 

Even beyond the above Financial Times article, one can go to the IAEA Website and find documents like this one http://www.iaea.org/NewsCenter/News/2003/iranap20031218.html , which details Iran’s signing in December of 2003 of the Additional Protocol on Nuclear Safeguards which formally granted the IAEA the right to perform more aggressive onsite inspections of Iranian nuclear sites, inspections which in fact had been ongoing since February of 2003. Ever since that time, the IAEA has been issuing regular reports on the progress of their inspections. One doesn’t come away from reading the last four years of reports with any suggestion that Iran is hurtling toward full development of a nuclear weapon.

 

The Bush Administration is probably going to blame its incorrect position and previous bellicose posturing regarding Iran on the CIA. History will probably judge that the CIA has been this administration’s favorite whipping boy from the very beginning. Anytime the administration has made incorrect judgments, it was the CIA’s fault. Then, of course, the administration gave another body blow to the agency when it outed one of its undercover agents in a juvenile, cowardly and underhanded act of political revenge.

 

It is not the CIA’s fault. No matter what the administration tries to do, if in about 20 minutes of research I can pull up the evidence I included in this article to refute the idea that Iran was pursuing nukes, how can the administration blame the CIA and the rest of the US Intelligence community for its foibles? Again, as with Iraq, relevant UN Weapons inspection agencies were on the ground at the sites in question and performing inspections and taking samples and their assessments were ignored by the administration. I think the American people have a right to know why that was so.

 

I think the answer is that like with Iraq, this administration wanted/wants to invade and occupy Iran and is willing to selectively interpret intelligence estimates to do justify doing so. I don’t know for sure why, it is probably a number of things. Of course one cannot ignore the oil aspect. I think that Ahmadinejad’s antagonistic attitude was also a contributing factor. But we should not ignore that there are still a lot of former PNAC members and their acolytes in the administration. PNAC or People for a New American Century have been advocating since 1998 for more aggressive and militaristic US policies in the Middle East. PNAC has asserted that all the US had to do was invade a few Middle Eastern countries to show the US means business and the rest of the region would fall into line. These folks aren’t satisfied with the catastrophe of the Iraq war and want to try again with Iran.

 

This admission by the administration may be their way of signaling their giving up on their grand scheme to invade Iran. Bush is a lame duck with little more than a year in office and has a hostile Democratic congress to deal with who do not even want to fund the current conflict in Iraq yet alone a new one in Iran. Perhaps that has been the new Democratic Congress’ greatest triumph even as they have thus far failed to end the war in Iraq. They have succeeded; it seems, in stopping a war with Iran. We should all stay vigilant. If the administration somehow gets a reason for war with Iran that it things is compelling enough to sell, whether it is true or not, they will attempt to use it.

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A political blogger for the International Business Times, Steve Leser is a hot national political pundit. He has appeared on MSNBC's Coundown with Keith Olbermann, Comedy Central's Daily Show with Jon Stewart and Russia Today's (RT) Crosstalk with (more...)
 
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