The opinion poll was conducted by O.R.B. and the survey details are as follows:
• Results are based face-to-face interviews amongst a nationally representative sample of 1720 adults aged 18+ throughout Iraq.
• The standard margin of error on the sample size is +2.4%
• The methodology uses multi-stage random probability sampling and covers fifteen of the eighteen governorates within Iraq. For security reasons Karbala and Al Anbar were not included. Irbil was excluded as the authorities refused our field team a permit.
• Interviews conducted August 12th – 19th 2007.
• Full results and data tabulations are available at www.opinion.co.uk/newsroom.aspx [Note: no information is posted there as of this writing.]
• O.R.B. are full members of the British Polling Council and abide by its rules- Advertisement -
Johnny Heald Munqeth Daghir
Managing Director, ORB Managing Director, Baghdad
+44 207 611 5270 +962 799672229
07973 600308- Advertisement -
Notice that they found one in two households in Baghdad had lost a family member. Assuming that there are about six individuals per household [population of 25 million divided by 4 million households] and that the same ration applies in Baghdad, this would suggest, using a rough population figure for Baghdad of 5 million, that perhaps 400,000 people had been killed in Baghdad alone!
Note that the press release points out that their results, if true, mean that the death in Iraq now surpasses that from the Rwandan genocide.
While cautioning again that further details are needed, this new study provides further support for the position that Iraq deaths from the invasion are one of the great humanitarian catastrophes of modern times. They provide strong support for the findings of the Lancet authors.