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January 9, 2008 at 09:49:02

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Two Roads Diverging in 2008: Which Way Will We Go?

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By Bernard Weiner, The Crisis Papers (about the author)     Page 2 of 3 page(s)

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1. CheneyBush, using the justification that Iran is obtaining "knowledge" of how to build an atomic bomb, launch with Israel a massive air assault on Iran's nuclear research facilities and missile silos. The corporate
mainstream media, as it did prior to the invasion of Iraq, will have prepared the public for such a move by uncritically passing on Administration lies as fact. Iran's military and political power in the Greater Middle East is in shambles for at least a decade. CheneyBush move to
install pro-American, pro-free market politicians in these Greater Middle East nations; insurgencies organize in those countries against corrupt, pro-Western rulers.

2. As a result of America's unprovoked attack on Iran, the Greater Middle East explodes into full-scale anti-U.S./anti-Western retaliation. Americans are attacked and killed or taken hostage in one Muslim country after
another, starting with downed U.S. pilots captured in Iran. Eventually, U.S. ground forces are dispatched to rescue trapped American citizens; though intended as get-in-fast-get-out-fast operations, the troops are soon
battling local insurgencies and U.S. bombers are called in to provide air cover. Many innocent civilians are killed as targets are missed and missiles go astray; in addition to Afghanistan, Iraq, and Iran, the insurgencies grow
and America is enmeshed in military quagmires in a number of other Muslim countries, most notably Pakistan.

3. The stretched-thin U.S. military is forced to call up virtually all its Reserves and National Guard units, as well as "postpone" leaves and retirements ("stop-loss") for American troops. Many angry families rebel,joining appalled generals at the Pentagon and Guard commanders in the States, in denouncing the action. There are few, if any, National Guard units available to deal with increasingly-severe natural disasters in
various states (floods, earthquakes, massive fires, riots, etc.). Congress introduces bills to stop CheneyBush's actions.

4. CheneyBush fire the recalcitrant Chiefs of Staff and generals and appoint their own neo-con military leaders from the lower ranks. The military situation grows even more disastrous on the ground. There is an emergency call for "volunteers" to join the armed forces, with $75,000
signing bonuses. When even that doesn't work, the military draft is re-instated. Money to pay for all of these military initiatives is borrowed from China. The economy tanks even further.


5. Prior to the scheduled November 2008 voting, CheneyBush announce a "postponement" of the election, "temporarily suspend" the Constitution, and
govern by martial-law decree. They claim the reason has to do with "increased terrorist incidents and threats." The "commander-in-chief" during "wartime" (the "war" being Bush's self-proclaimed "war on terror") announces that Congress is closed. Armed troops keep the peoples'
representatives from approaching the Capitol; some legislators secretly convene to discuss impeachment in Philadelphia, in the same chambers where the Declaration of Independence and Constitution were hammered out. These
legislators and tens of thousands of protesters, including noted political and other military figures, are rounded up and sent to detention camps -- originally built by Halliburton to contain illegal aliens -- which are
guarded by Blackwater mercenaries. Mass protests in all areas of the country are broken up and thousands arrested and sent to the camps; in a few cities, troops refuse orders to fire on the protesters -- and they are arrested and immediately court-martialed

6. Abroad, tens of millions of appalled, angry citizens pour into the streets to denounce the CheneyBush coup in Washington, and urge their governments and the United Nations to take action to restore America's democratic republic. Among the economic sanctions imposed: a) An
international agreement to switch from the dollar to the euro as the recognized international currency. b) A "call" on all U.S. debts, primarily by China and Japan. c) An embargo of all exports to the U.S., which means primarily oil; U.S. oil consumption is ordered cut in half. The result of all these moves is not simply an economic depression and unemployment but areas of mass starvation throughout the U.S. The sharp decline of the U.S. economy causes world-wide economic distress and dislocation, to be sure, but amounts to much less damage abroad than would result in the event of a full-scale war against, and invasion of, the U.S. by the world community.
(For more on this, see Ernest Partridge's "The Oil Trap" (
http://gadfly.igc.org/eds/envt/oiltrap.htm ) and "The Vulnerable Giant.")
( www.Crisispapers.org/Editorials/vulnerable-giant.htm )

Vladmir Putin, the effective maximum leader inside Russia, offers a good share of his country's nuclear submarine fleet in the event the United Nations might want to send a military force toward the United States. The U.N. says no thanks, for now.

7. Cheney and Bush vow not to resign, but to "defend America's freedoms, economic system and sacred soil to the last man, woman and child," suggesting they are willing to unleash a "scorched-earth" policy, and, if necessary, take the country down with them. Top generals in the Pentagon
launch a counter-coup in an attempt to return the U.S. to Constitutional rule -- promising speedy democratic elections -- but, due to a mole inside their ranks, are foiled and either executed as "traitors" or placed
incommunicado in military prisons.

8. A large delegation of respected Republican elders, all staunch supporters of the Administration -- including former Reagan and Bush Cabinet members, Nobel Prize winners, Wall Street bankers -- sets out for the White
House to urge Cheney and Bush to resign and leave the country, with several billion dollars at their disposal. The GOP delegation is arrested, and is sent to a detention facility near the one housing oppositional Democrats and
Independents. The nascent rebellion building in the country loses steam.

9. The U.S. is kicked out of the United Nations. The economic-sanctions plan proceeds apace, with every major country on board except France. The stock market collapses.

10. Seeing the handwriting of their demise on the wall, in the dead of night Bush and Cheney and their families secretly depart for Paraguay, to the huge compound the Bush clan had purchased years before. Paraguay has no
extradition agreement with the U.S. (However, Paraguay does have extradition agreements with the United Nations and the International Criminal Court in The Hague.)

Well, you may think the above is pure nightmare fantasy, highly unlikely to happen. But how many Americans thought that the United States would invade and occupy a country that offered no imminent threat to us, and would persist in occupying that country even though nearly 80% of the native
population has indicated that it wants the U.S. to leave and nearly two-thirds of Americans polled think the war was a mistake and it's time to go?


WHO NEEDS AN OPEN COUP?

I'm not saying that this scenario will play out exactly the way it's sketched above. For one thing, is an open martial-law "coup" by CheneyBush actually necessary? Virtually all the authoritarian structures already are
in place, anti-terrorism bills passed by Congress give Bush the power to declare martial law in emergency situations, the ostensible "opposition party" offers precious little opposition, the corporate mainstream media is in ideological lockstep with the Administration, the counting of votes remains secret and in the hands of Republican-supporting corporations, the bulk of the citizenry says they're opposed to extreme CheneyBush actions but are not really doing much to vociferously object.

Remember that CheneyBush control the Justice Department including the U.S. Attorneys, FEMA (the department that runs the camps), most of the courts, the National Guard, Homeland Security, the Pentagon, the domestic-spying
apparatus (NSA, CIA, FBI, et al.), the corporate mainstream media. The public has been warned time and time again to "watch what you say"; those objecting to the CheneyBush moves, the Administration's argument goes, would be "weakening the U.S." and thus would be "supporting the terrorists," thus making these "traitors" liable for arrest.

Bush&Co. thus repeat their M.O. of using the horrific events of 9/11 to frighten a nervous population into giving them the massive police powers they have assumed, into writing nearly a trillion dollars worth of blank checks for their various foreign misadventures, into supporting or
acquiescing to their illegal behavior in twisting and shredding the Constitution's legal protections all citizens should enjoy.

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www.crisispapers.org

Bernard Weiner, Ph.D. in government & international relations, has taught at universities in California and Washington, worked for two decades as a writer-editor at the San Francisco Chronicle, and currently serves as co-editor of The Crisis Papers (more...)
 

The views expressed in this article are the sole responsibility of the author
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A question from a foreigner by Brett Paatsch on Wednesday, Jan 9, 2008 at 7:06:51 PM
PS: I did read all of your article Bernie. by Brett Paatsch on Wednesday, Jan 9, 2008 at 7:11:33 PM

 
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