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June 8 Primary: Tea Party has Minimal Impact and More

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Gordon Howie was defeated in his attempt to win the Republican nomination for Governor

Moreover, there was generally nothing in the turnouts that suggested that Republicans were more energized than normal. All but one states that had more registered Republicans had their typical advantage in amount of voters in the Republican nomination contests versus the Democratic nomination contests for the same office.

If there is a state where the GOP nomination seemed to be tea party dominated it is Nevada. All tea party candidates in Nevada seem to have won their contests. Nevada Republicans also seemed to have a much higher turnout than normal versus the Democrats. Democrats in Nevada may have their work cut out for them this November.

A few incumbents did lose their bids for reelection, but most of them were Republicans. The two Democratic races I had my eye on as a bell-weather for anti-incumbent sentiment ended with both of the incumbents winning. Those were Senator Blanche Lincoln in Arkansas and Representative Jane Harman in California's 36th congressional district.

All of this suggests that this November is probably not going to be quite as difficult for Democrats as has been predicted. There are certainly challenges for Democrats but there is not going to be this unstoppable force that sweeps Democrats from office. 2010 will be more of a 1978 not a 1994. The Democrats success with improving the jobs situation will probably play a large factor in the elections. If they can keep up the trend shown in the various "bikini graphs" out there, the Democrats may actually win a few seats in November.

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http://www.ibtimes.com/blog/steven-leser_103/bio/
A political blogger for the International Business Times, Steve Leser is a hot national political pundit. He has appeared on MSNBC's Coundown with Keith Olbermann, Comedy Central's Daily Show with Jon Stewart and Russia Today's (RT) Crosstalk with (more...)
 

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