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Iranian counter attack
The Iranian military distribution of forces was set up by general Bradley. It is simple and it has worked. There has not been a change in Bradley doctrine which was originally designed to deal with the Soviets. The general idea is that in case of Iran's confrontation with an enemy with significant military superiority, the bulk of the army in a fanning movement would redeploy to Zagross Mountains in the west or Alborz Mountains in the north - depending on the main prong of the attack. This would be followed by mobilization of the militia (3,000,000) who are well armed and have been training for such events since 1980. There are also going to be about Four to six million volunteer forces.Main Targets for Iran:
Saudi oil installations in Dhahran and Kuwait: These are less than 50 miles from Khoramshahr military installations (a few howitzer shells would cause massive, irreversible damage); the majority of the oil workers are Shiites and have strong ties with Islamic Republic. Once the conflict reaches this point, the harm by the military and economic chaos would supersede any benefit gained by an Israeli attack. Oil would = $150 a barrel, followed by economic problems hundreds of times bigger than in the aftermath of 911.Why the hype
At this point, the real question is: if these guys have no intention of getting started with a war, why the tough talk? Of course, each player has its own reasons.Israel:
It is true that Israel does not want a nuclear Iran, but that is not because they are afraid of Ahmadinejad dropping a bomb on them. Israel does not want the change in balance of power; they want to be the only one with the bomb.Iran
The Iranian government thrives and survives with conflict. There is a long list of scape-goats during last thirty years. For the time being Israel is the best entity to blame, for their own failures.ã
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