The next showdown is only months away. Having lost the sanctions vote, AIPAC is shifting its focus to the final stage negotiations over Iran's nuclear program. Its second path for collapsing the talks is to push for a non-starter final agreement -- a return to the Bush administration's policy of a complete dismantlement of the Iranian nuclear program and zero enrichment.
This would cause the Iranians to walk away from the table. In fact, the interim deal already makes clear that Iran will have enrichment on its soil at the end of the final deal. Once again, AIPAC's demands violate the previous agreement. It seeks to renegotiate everything Obama already has painstakingly settled with Iran.
It remains to be seen if it can win that battle and collapse the talks. But its recent failure shows that the outcome is far from predetermined. It all depends on the American public and the intensity of their desire to avoid war with Iran.
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