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Has Al Gore's CO2 Theory Fizzled Out? (part one)

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A Crimes of the State Investigation

If you track the popular Internet videos, you may have come across a British TV production called The Great Global Warming Swindle (Google Video). I do not wish to defend the propaganda, the personalities, or the several straw man arguments that appear in this lengthy program.

All I want to focus on is the science.

This is a study of some global warming dissenters in the climate field.

Al Gore's An Inconvenient Truth is also explored, in particular Gore's central claim, the theory of manmade global warming as a result of increased carbon dioxide in the atmosphere:

"The relationship is very complicated, but there is one relationship that is far more powerful than all the others, and it is this: when there is more carbon dioxide, the temperature gets warmer." --Al Gore, An Inconvenient Truth

This quote is presented in The Great Global Warming Swindle at
around 20 minutes in, and then it is mercilessly shredded by the climate scientists.

According to Al Gore's theory, increased levels of carbon dioxide CAUSE an increase in global temperature. But, interestingly enough, Al Gore does not prove this in his film. Far from it. The very real possibility that increases in temperature cause an increase in carbon dioxide levels (and not vice-versa) is never addressed. Al Gore has short-changed humanity in this most glaring omission: establishing causation.

So, which is it?

Does a rise in carbon dioxide cause a rise in the temperature?

OR, does a rise in the temperature cause a rise in carbon dioxide?
This is no small question. The entire global economy is being reengineered on the assumption that the first scenario is true. But is it really?

What About 800 Years of Lag?

The big counter-argument to Gore is made by Professor Ian Clark, Dept. of Earth Sciences at the University of Ottawa. Clark says that the ice core record shows that changes in atomospheric carbon levels come after the temperature has already changed, in one example by as much as 800 years.

"CO2 clearly cannot be causing temperature changes. It's a product of temperature. It's following temperature changes." --Professor Ian Clark

This is highly significant, if true, as it completely disproves Al Gore's theory of manmade global warming. This view is seconded by Professor Tim Ball, a Climatologist at the University of Winnipeg:

"But the ice core record shows exactly the opposite. So the fundamental assumption, the most fundamental assumption of the whole theory of climate change -- due to humans -- is shown to be wrong." --(emphasis in original) Professor Tim Ball, Dept. of Climatology, University of Winnipeg

Is There a Better Alternative Theory?

The film presents an alternate theory that better matches the data: Changes in sun activity cause changes in global temperature.

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John Doraemi publishes Crimes of the State Blog: http://crimesofthestate.blogspot.com/

The views expressed in this article are the sole responsibility of the author
and do not necessarily reflect those of this website or its editors.

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Hardly! by Dom Jermano on Friday, Apr 6, 2007 at 12:27:12 AM
So what causes the changes in sun activity? by emily horswill on Friday, Apr 6, 2007 at 1:13:29 AM
I really don't understand this irrational reasoning. by johndoraemi on Friday, Apr 6, 2007 at 5:43:00 PM
- theory ? - by amazin on Friday, Apr 6, 2007 at 5:26:22 AM
I'm not seeing any science here. by johndoraemi on Friday, Apr 6, 2007 at 3:30:42 PM
Yes you are . . . by amazin on Saturday, Apr 7, 2007 at 10:32:03 AM
More character attacks. by johndoraemi on Saturday, Apr 7, 2007 at 12:52:37 PM
I'm confused! by denvan on Saturday, Apr 7, 2007 at 2:26:59 PM
Science is not a popularity contest. by johndoraemi on Sunday, Apr 8, 2007 at 5:01:45 PM
Why Global Warming is REAL! by Dom Jermano on Monday, Apr 9, 2007 at 7:33:17 AM
No bearing on the cause and effect question. by johndoraemi on Monday, Apr 9, 2007 at 1:20:57 PM
Why don't you do your own research? by Dom Jermano on Monday, Apr 9, 2007 at 11:22:36 PM
When we get to the actual science, it's not so cut and dry. by johndoraemi on Wednesday, Apr 11, 2007 at 12:24:12 PM
Fight Against Nuclear Power on Earth by Dom Jermano on Monday, Apr 9, 2007 at 8:07:24 AM
Today's news by johndoraemi on Monday, Apr 9, 2007 at 1:22:54 PM
The author has a point... by Ben on Monday, Apr 9, 2007 at 10:32:48 AM
Reasonable by johndoraemi on Monday, Apr 9, 2007 at 1:32:19 PM
CO2 causes warming. by Pleru on Monday, Apr 9, 2007 at 4:13:34 PM
Weak science. by johndoraemi on Monday, Apr 9, 2007 at 10:27:03 PM
Here is a good site John by Dom Jermano on Monday, Apr 9, 2007 at 11:52:22 PM
This helps to explain to the complexity of the problem. by johndoraemi on Tuesday, Apr 10, 2007 at 3:26:53 PM
PS by johndoraemi on Tuesday, Apr 10, 2007 at 3:33:59 PM
PS. You are wrong John by Dom Jermano on Wednesday, Apr 11, 2007 at 9:25:10 AM
Sunburn Pain by Dom Jermano on Wednesday, Apr 11, 2007 at 9:44:43 AM
Open letter, full response by Devlin Buckley on Thursday, Apr 12, 2007 at 9:43:24 AM
Response by johndoraemi on Friday, Apr 13, 2007 at 5:50:23 PM
Second response by Devlin Buckley on Sunday, Apr 15, 2007 at 1:25:40 PM