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Astonishing Incongruities: Is It Time to Bail Out of the US?

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California State Controller John Chiang announced on January 26 that California's bills exceed its tax revenues and credit line and that the state is going to print its own money known as IOUs. The template is already designed.  

Instead of receiving their state tax refunds in dollars, California residents will receive IOUs. Student aid and payments to disabled and needy will also come in the form of IOUs. California is negotiating with banks to get them to accept the IOUs as deposits.

California is often identified as the world's eighth largest economy, and it is broke.  

A person might think that California's plight would introduce some realism into Washington, DC, but it has not. President Obama is taking steps to intensify the war in Afghanistan and, perhaps, to expand it to Pakistan.  

Obama has retained the Republican warmongers in the Pentagon, and the US continues to illegally bomb Pakistan and to murder its civilians. At the World Economic Forum at Davos this week, Pakistan's prime minister, Y. R. Gilani, said that the American attacks on Pakistan are counterproductive and done without Pakistan's permission. In an interview with CNN, Gilani said: "I want to put on record that we do not have any agreement between the government of the United States and the government of Pakistan."  

How long before Washington will be printing money?


On January 28 Obama announced his $825 billion bailout plan. This comes on top of President Bush's $700 billion bailout of just a few months ago.  

Obama says his plan will be more transparent than Bush's and will do more good for the economy.  

As large as the bailouts are--a total of $1.5 trillion in four months--the amount is small in relation to the reported size of troubled assets that are in the tens of trillions of dollars. How do we know that by June there won't be another bailout, say $950 billion?

Where will the money come from?

Obama's bailout plan, added to the FY 2009 budget deficit he has inherited from Bush, opens a gaping expenditure hole of about $3 trillion.  
Who is going to purchase $3 trillion of US Treasury bonds?

Not the US consumer. The consumer is out of work and out of money. Private sector credit market debt is 174% of GDP. The personal savings rate is 2 percent. Ten percent of households are in foreclosure or arrears. Household debt-service ratio is at an all-time high. Household net worth has declined at a record rate. Housing inventories are at record highs. 

Not America's foreign creditors. At best, the Chinese, Japanese, and Saudis can recycle their trade surpluses with the US into Treasury bonds, but the combined surplus does not approach the size of the US budget deficit.

Perhaps another drop in the stock market will drive Americans' remaining wealth into "safe" US Treasury bonds.

If not, there's only the printing press.

The printing press would turn a deflationary depression into an inflationary depression.
Unemployment combined with rising prices would be a killer.

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http://www.paulcraigroberts.org/

Paul Craig Roberts was an editor of the Wall Street Journal and an Assistant Secretary of the U.S. Treasury. His latest book, HOW THE ECONOMY WAS LOST, has just been published by CounterPunch/AK Press. He was awarded the Treasury Department's (more...)
 

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This is the brutal truth of the matter. (I advise those with by Richard Mynick on Wednesday, Jan 28, 2009 at 8:11:34 PM
Great passage by UncleSim on Thursday, Jan 29, 2009 at 8:21:25 PM
Millions of jobs by Perry Logan on Thursday, Jan 29, 2009 at 7:37:17 AM
But... by UncleSim on Thursday, Jan 29, 2009 at 8:04:32 PM
Showcraft by William Whitten on Friday, Jan 30, 2009 at 1:34:31 AM
It's all a facade by Perry Logan on Sunday, Feb 8, 2009 at 6:16:10 AM
Creating wealth by Jerry West on Thursday, Jan 29, 2009 at 6:31:19 PM
Yeah by UncleSim on Thursday, Jan 29, 2009 at 8:05:47 PM
Wealth is fixed? I respectfully disagree. by Jere Hough on Thursday, Jan 29, 2009 at 10:46:06 PM
??????????????? by William Whitten on Friday, Jan 30, 2009 at 1:21:29 AM
???????????meant for Jerry West by William Whitten on Friday, Jan 30, 2009 at 1:23:37 AM
In Reality by wagelaborer on Thursday, Jan 29, 2009 at 7:13:31 PM
Banks by UncleSim on Thursday, Jan 29, 2009 at 8:08:24 PM
Where is the bailout money to come from? by Jere Hough on Thursday, Jan 29, 2009 at 10:59:16 PM
Invest in Wheelbarrels by William Whitten on Friday, Jan 30, 2009 at 1:30:36 AM
Of course the bailout money comes from the taxpayers! by Mark Watterson on Saturday, Feb 7, 2009 at 1:09:54 PM