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Nate Silver: For Romney, a Widening Gap Between Urban and Rural Support

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Headlined to None 4/1/12
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At fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com

After several early roadblocks, Mitt Romney now has a fairly certain path to the Republican nomination. He has received less support, however, among rural and more conservative voters -- the base of the Republican Party in recent elections. It is a similar situation to the one Senator John McCain faced four years ago. Two days after Super Tuesday in 2008, the Los Angeles Times wrote: With John McCain racking up delegates on a steady march toward the Republican presidential nomination, deeply conservative voters are at a loss. They don't like McCain. They've tried, and failed, to stop him. Substitute Mr. Romney for Mr. McCain and you have a good assessment of the 2012 Republican race.

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At fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com


 

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