California Recall Sends a Nationwide
Message
By Steven Hill and Rob Richie
OpEdNews.Com
The California recall dominated national and state politics in the
early fall, culminating in voters rejecting Gov. Gray Davis in favor of
movie star Arnold Schwarzenegger. The election truly was historic -- Davis
is only the second governor in the nation's history to be recalled -- and
the fact that voters handled such a large field of candidates with general
ease shows that they are ready to handle more choices than some observers
think.
But as the dust clears, one sobering reality is that some 40% of
California's eligible voters and only 57% of registered voters cast a vote
-- hardly the surging tidal wave conveyed by pundits and pollsters
immediately following the recall. Turnout was the second lowest in
California gubernatorial history, not far ahead of the sagging turnout
when Gray Davis was reelected in 2002. Long lines at some polls were due
to the number of polling places being drastically reduced - from 5,400 to
1,800 in Los Angeles County, for example - rather than a huge influx of
voters.
Thus the hype of a celebrity candidate and a "mad as hell"
electorate did not motivate millions of potential voters - just as this
November's elections for governor and mayor in many states did not spur
even half of eligible adults to the polls. We still must confront the
complicated roots of historic low turnout, both in California and the
United States.
Note further that, just like Gray Davis before him, Schwarzenegger won
with less than a 50 percent majority of the vote. Schwarzenegger joins 24
other governors around the country who won a gubernatorial election with
fewer than half the votes -- meaning that theoretically they may be in
office only by the fluke of the true majority splitting its vote among
several "spoiler" candidates.
Our Center's new report "Non-Majority Winners in American
Elections" (see www.fairvote.org/plurality/index.html) shows that
since 1988, a majority of states have awarded their electoral college
votes to presidential candidates who won less than 50% of the vote in that
state -- including 49 out of 50 states in 1992. In fact, no president has
won a majority of the popular vote since 1988. More U.S. Senate seats also
were won by non-majority winners in the 1990s than had occurred since the
1930s. Increasingly voters feel less loyalty to the major parties and are
willing to vote for a third party or independent candidate.
Electing majority winners and increasing voter turnout are both crucial
democratic goals, yet too often our current methods fail both of these
tests. Our 18th-century electoral methods are not designed to accommodate
more than two candidates, and so credible independent candidates are
dismissed as mere spoilers. Voting for your favorite candidate can
contribute directly to the election of your least favorite, and this in
turn has a dampening effect on voter turnout.
To elect majority winners, several southern states and many cities hold
two-round runoffs in which the top two finishers face-off in a second
election. While runoffs ensure that the winner in the second election has
a majority of the votes cast, often it comes at the expense of lower voter
turnout in the second election. So we accomplish one democratic goal -
majority winners - but undermine the goal of higher turnout.
There is a way to have our cake and eat it too - to both elect majority
winners and encourage voter participation. It's called instant runoff
voting (IRV). IRV achieves the goal of a runoff election -- majority
winners -- without the cost and hassle of a second election. Voters select
their favorite candidate, and then indicate their runoff choices by
ranking their candidates: 1, 2 and 3. If a candidate receives a majority
of first choices, she or he is declared the winner. If not, the candidate
with the fewest votes is eliminated, and a runoff round of counting occurs
immediately using voters "runoff" rankings. Your ballot counts
for your top-ranked candidate still in the race. Runoff rounds continue
until there is a majority winner.
IRV determines a true majority winner in one election and banishes the
spoiler concept. In 2000, those liberals who liked Ralph Nader but worried
about George Bush could have ranked Nader first and Al Gore second. Rather
than contributing to Gore's defeat, Nader could have stimulated debate and
mobilized more voters.
IRV also decreases the incentives for negative campaigning that occur
in the head-to-head combat of an election. Candidates have incentive to
court the supporters of other candidates, asking for their second or third
rankings. Successful candidates usually win by building coalitions, not by
tearing down their opponents.
IRV better fulfills both worthwhile democratic goals: electing majority
winners, and encouraging voter participation. It liberates voters to
choose the candidates they really like instead of the "lesser of two
evils," which in turn will encourage voters to participate. Those are
important lessons to learn from the roller coaster of the California
recall.
Steven Hill is senior analyst for the Center for Voting and Democracy (www.fairvote.org)
and author of "Fixing Elections: The Failure of America's Winner Take
All Politics" (www.FixingElections.com), which is now available in
paperback. Rob Richie is executive director of the Center. The Center is
the lead organizer of the major "Claim Democracy" conference in
Washington, D.C. on November 22-23 (see www.DemocracyUSA.org).