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The Bayesian Analysis as well as the Maximum Likelyhood approach are a part of the the Probabilistic Risk Science. Those two approaches combined provide a probability of the hypothesis to be true in light of the evidence. ANY evidence, technical or political analogue can be included and taken into account. It is an advanced approach, many handbooks are available, codes, etc. It is vastly used in the area of reliability. This one should be used first and foremost as a part of the forensic investigation if one was performed. Needless to say that even very primitive Bayesian accounting for 9/11 gives a very high probability of the faul play. But no matter what, this approach is the only one to use in the light of controversial and uncertain evidences. This is for those who want the objective truth. There is no certainty but uncertainty, that is true, but the human genuis had developed a plausible methodology to account for it.
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By Mark Sashine (about the author)
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Politics and Science can be combined under the Bayesian analysis and the Maximum Likelyhood.
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A writer is a rogue goose. All other gees fly in a flock formation; every goose knows his place and time for honking. The rogue goose is undisciplined. He leaves the formation indiscriminately to have a look at it from aside. He roams back and (more...)
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a welcomed method
by Stephen Demetriou on Wednesday, Feb 20, 2008 at 3:15:20 PM
Thanks
by Mark Sashine on Wednesday, Feb 20, 2008 at 6:07:04 PM
Aldo Moro
by Mark Sashine on Wednesday, Feb 20, 2008 at 6:18:06 PM
Ron
by Mark Sashine on Wednesday, Feb 20, 2008 at 7:17:35 PM
This Can Work
by JimZ on Wednesday, Feb 20, 2008 at 11:43:10 PM
All correct
by Stephen Demetriou on Thursday, Feb 21, 2008 at 7:53:18 AM
We must appreciate
by Mark Sashine on Thursday, Feb 21, 2008 at 8:37:55 AM