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Russian analysist Igor Panarin has predicted the political disintegration of the United States. Naturally I found his analysis most interesting. However, I also found it flawed in a very critical respect: The political disintegration of North America is already an active process and well underway for some time. Most importantly, it is being lead principally by the re-emergence of the surviving indigenous (captive) nations of North America reclaiming sovereignty, and not by external forces or dislocations.
Some key cases in point include the Squamish, who have already openly separated from Canada just last year, and the Lakotah, who similarly terminated treaty with the United States at the end of 2007. There is of course the Mi'kmaq and Haudenosuanee in Canada who very much wish to do the same, and the Western Shoshoni Nation who have similarly been actively struggling to separate from the United States over the past decade. Finally, there is the Inuet of Greenland, who are becoming sovereign from Denmark this year.
Canada in particular, due to it's entirely artificial nature, is potentially subject to complete disintegration. There is properly no such thing as a sovereign (Dominion of) Canada under recognizable international law, as it has no government; the head of state is the British monarchy, well demonstrated by the recent closure of Canadian parliament under the authority of the British governor general Michaelle Jean. Modern Canada also does not have a fixed population, and not even any actual land base, as all the lands of Canada exist either on unceded indigenous lands temporarily occupied or lands that exist only in treaty between indigenous peoples and the British crown. This thing presently called Canada is certainly a British "dominion" through brute force, but has no actual claim to sovereign dominium in North America.
There is one part of his analysis I fully agree with. As we have seen with other recent continental decolonizations, once a few nations do successfully become free, very rapidly the remaining captive nations will follow. It is very easy to see how such a rapid process of decolonization can come about in North America. Given the continual policies of genocide practiced by both the present Canadian/British government and the United States, this process is both inevitable and absolutely necessary.
